I'm still half expecting Brown Eyed Girl to show up every week tbh.

Given the auto-play cut on Spotify I'd have Feel Good Inc. dropping out along with Popular and probably labour (for NOKIA, Revolving door and Anxiety).

If there is to be a fourth new entry I think it could be any of Apple, Everybody Wants to Rule the World or La La La dropping out.

I've also done a rough estimate for Sultans of Swing which I think is on somewhere between 105k and 110k as of today's chart so could potentially appear in a few weeks.

5 new entries this week 😮

Week 14:

1	1	Lola Young	Messy	632,000	810,000
2	2	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	595,000	950,000
3	3	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	542,000	970,000
4	4	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	499,000	1,130,000
5	5	Chrystal	The Days	399,000	560,000
6	9	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	378,000	820,000
7	6	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	373,000	1,590,000
8	7	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	371,000	1,570,000
9	8	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	366,000	960,000
10	10	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	350,000	2,140,000
11	11	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	334,000	2,090,000
12	13	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	329,000	2,160,000
13	12	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	328,000	1,120,000
14	17	Alex Warren	Ordinary	324,000	320,000
15	14	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	310,000	930,000
16	16	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	287,000	530,000
17	15	Teddy Swims	The Door	287,000	950,000
18	19	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	270,000	380,000
19	18	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	270,000	1,610,000
20	20	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	263,000	1,410,000
21	21	Hozier	Too Sweet	262,000	1,730,000
22	22	Myles Smith	Stargazing	259,000	1,270,000
23	23	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	251,000	2,770,000
24	24	Sabrina Carpenter	Bed Chem	246,000	640,000
25	28	Tate McRae	Sports Car	243,000	240,000
26	27	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	242,000	240,000
27	25	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	Luther	239,000	330,000
28	26	Gracie Abrams	I Love You, I'm Sorry	236,000	720,000
29	29	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	232,000	700,000
30	30	The Weeknd and Playboi Carti	Timeless	225,000	450,000
31	31	Chappell Roan	Hot To Go!	223,000	880,000
32	32	Doechii	Denial Is A River	215,000	210,000
33	33	Sam Fender	People Watching	214,000	320,000
34	35	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	All The Stars	209,000	2,130,000
35	34	Billie Eilish	Wildflower	209,000	720,000
36	39	Alex Warren	Carry You Home	202,000	500,000
37	37	The Killers	Mr Brightside	197,000	6,260,000
38	40	Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen	I Had Some Help	192,000	1,100,000
39	38	Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose	Kisses	192,000	850,000
40	36	Jimin	Who	191,000	460,000
49	54	Sabrina Carpenter	Busy Woman	167,000
55	56	Alex Warren	Burning Down	153,000
57	58	Sabrina Carpenter	Juno	149,000	390,000
68	-	Doechii	Anxiety	132,000
80	-	Drake	Nokia	126,000
94	-	Tate McRae	Revolving Door	117,000
95	-	Ravyn Lenae	Love Me Not	116,000

Entered this week:

Anxiety

Nokia

Revolving Door

Love Me Not

Greedy

Left this week:

La La La

Popular

I Remember Everything

Labour

Feel Good Inc

Wasn't expecting Love Me Not! Must have done decently well before charting. Also surprised Everybody Wants To Rule The World held on, think I was overestimating I Remember Everything. Also Lose Control finally overtaking Taste, I've been expecting that would happen for weeks now!

Edited April 9Apr 9 by gasman449

Do we think Ordinary will catch Messy?

I had Love Me Not on 109k so was not anticipating it showing up for another week.

Apple will definitely drop out this week I think, nothing new is doing well enough to replace it so it's a guessing game as to which oldie re-enters.

49 minutes ago, Liam S said:

Do we think Ordinary will catch Messy?

Yes I think “Ordinary” is now looking hot favourite to be Year End #1.

Yeah it should definitely catch messy , still time for some suprise release to top wasn't noah way ahead at this point

Ordinary did over 73k this week, which means it should be at around 393k or 394k. Looks like a Gold certification is happening next week.

Might be pretty close but Hometown Glory might enter this week, if not definitely next week

59 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Might be pretty close but Hometown Glory might enter this week, if not definitely next week

My estimate must be way off if you're right here, only have it on 100k

Just now, Maestro said:

My estimate must be way off if you're right here, only have it on 100k

I have it on around 120k, bit of a grey area before it re-entered the indie chart though so I could be a bit off.

5 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

I have it on around 120k, bit of a grey area before it re-entered the indie chart though so I could be a bit off.

hmm interesting, I would have considered my estimate a bit conservative but 120k seems like too much imo.

But as you said there's a large amount of guesswork going on for the first few weeks of the year so it's not impossible.

On a separate note, there's some interesting moves in the audio streaming chart which don't make sense in comparison to Spotify which leads me to believe that streaming sales from other services (most likely Amazon) have been re calibrated this week or promotion of these older songs have been changed on other streaming services (Go Your Own Way had a very strong week on Apple too so i'm not entirely sure).

Go Your Own Way dropping out on audio streaming from #69 last week despite climbing on Spotify.

Don't Stop Me Now dropping out on audio streaming from #83 and moving #3-#6 on the rock chart.

Everywhere moving #51-#66 on audio streaming despite climbing on Spotify.

Don't Stop Believin' moving #56-#80 on audio streaming despite climbing on Spotify.

Not sure what to make of it but something doesn't add up imo - should have an effect on the YTD chart.

8 minutes ago, Maestro said:

On a separate note, there's some interesting moves in the audio streaming chart which don't make sense in comparison to Spotify which leads me to believe that streaming sales from other services (most likely Amazon) have been re calibrated this week or promotion of these older songs have been changed on other streaming services (Go Your Own Way had a very strong week on Apple too so i'm not entirely sure).

Go Your Own Way dropping out on audio streaming from #69 last week despite climbing on Spotify.

Don't Stop Me Now dropping out on audio streaming from #83 and moving #3-#6 on the rock chart.

Everywhere moving #51-#66 on audio streaming despite climbing on Spotify.

Don't Stop Believin' moving #56-#80 on audio streaming despite climbing on Spotify.

Not sure what to make of it but something doesn't add up imo - should have an effect on the YTD chart.

Does youtube count to the audio streaming chart? I think Youtube is probably on par with Amazon and Apple if so and might explain it?

10 minutes ago, Envoirment said:

Does youtube count to the audio streaming chart? I think Youtube is probably on par with Amazon and Apple if so and might explain it?

Would've thought not and that it would only contribute to the video streaming chart, but difficult to know as i'm not entirely sure how YouTube Music works

1 minute ago, Maestro said:

Would've thought not and that it would only contribute to the video streaming chart, but difficult to know as i'm not entirely sure how YouTube Music works

Yes it's a bit weird. I'm not sure if audio-only or even lyric videos would count as normal streams and only music video streams count towards the actual video streaming chart? Just had a brief look through and Youtube Music seems to have a set up similar to other audio-only streaming services allowing you to stream just audio as well as watching videos. So maybe some of what is streamed on youtube music will count toward the audio streaming chart?

Week 15:

1	1	Lola Young	Messy	666,000	850,000
2	2	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	630,000	990,000
3	3	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	571,000	1,000,000
4	4	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	526,000	1,160,000
5	5	Chrystal	The Days	425,000	590,000
6	6	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	416,000	860,000
7	7	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	398,000	1,620,000
8	14	Alex Warren	Ordinary	397,000	400,000
9	8	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	392,000	1,590,000
10	9	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	387,000	980,000
11	10	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	377,000	2,160,000
12	11	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	355,000	2,110,000
13	13	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	350,000	1,140,000
14	12	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	349,000	2,180,000
15	15	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	327,000	950,000
16	16	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	309,000	550,000
17	17	Teddy Swims	The Door	307,000	970,000
18	18	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	290,000	400,000
19	19	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	288,000	1,620,000
20	21	Hozier	Too Sweet	280,000	1,750,000
21	20	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	279,000	1,420,000
22	22	Myles Smith	Stargazing	278,000	1,290,000
23	25	Tate McRae	Sports Car	270,000	270,000
24	23	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	268,000	2,790,000
25	26	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	262,000	260,000
26	24	Sabrina Carpenter	Bed Chem	262,000	650,000
27	27	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	Luther	252,000	350,000
28	29	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	250,000	720,000
29	28	Gracie Abrams	I Love You, I'm Sorry	248,000	730,000
30	31	Chappell Roan	Hot To Go!	237,000	900,000
31	30	The Weeknd and Playboi Carti	Timeless	237,000	460,000
32	33	Sam Fender	People Watching	227,000	330,000
33	32	Doechii	Denial Is A River	227,000	230,000
34	36	Alex Warren	Carry You Home	225,000	520,000
35	34	Kendrick Lamar & Sza	All The Stars	222,000	2,140,000
36	35	Billie Eilish	Wildflower	221,000	730,000
37	37	The Killers	Mr Brightside	212,000	6,280,000
38	39	Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin featuring BbyClose	Kisses	207,000	860,000
39	38	Post Malone featuring Morgan Wallen	I Had Some Help	206,000	1,120,000
40	42	Goo Goo Dolls	Iris	195,000	4,010,000
43	49	Sabrina Carpenter	Busy Woman	194,000
53	55	Alex Warren	Burning Down	167,000	300,000
55	68	Doechii	Anxiety	165,000
65	80	Drake	Nokia	148,000
73	95	Ravyn Lenae	Love Me Not	139,000
82	94	Tate McRae	Revolving Door	134,000

“Apple” replaced by……….

“Wonderwall”!

Just to prove how unlucky it was APT coming to pass TST overall sales in the next couple of weeks dang