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Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 29/06 to 05/07 chart

 

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This chart is over-driven by Ed Sheeran songs

After 17 consecutive weekly turn overs, Ella Henderson finally put an end to the run as 'Ghost' spent a second week at #1, despite very tough competition from 5 Seconds of Summer's second single. It seem it is possible for a similar situation to occur this week as Ella still battles on for another week at #1, with new release 'Gecko (Overdrive)' by Oliver Heldens and The Voice contestant Becky Hill being strong competitors, as well as Ed Sheeran's 'Sing' who may re-climb to #1 following a slight chart manipulation involving instant grats (yeah, stay well clear of thinking too much about it). This is likely not to be the last of Ed Sheeran in this week's chart, as all the songs released as chart-ineligible instant grats are allowed to chart this week and 8 of these currently stand in the iTunes Top 40. Elsewhere, new entries should include Example's 'One More Day (Stay with Me)', Austin Mahone's 'Mmm Yeah' (featuring Pitbull) and Dimitri Vegas, Martin Garrix & Like Mike's 'Tremor'.

 

It was obvious that Ed Sheeran would be looking at a #1 album, but judging from the success of his many instant grats on iTunes last week, it seems he could potentially beat the 168k Coldplay sold to gain the 2014 record for best #1 sales! Elsewhere, the Top 40 is looking pretty quiet for new entries, with just Mastodon and Hawk House being possible entries.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

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Tuesday Update - The Cherry Picked Top 40 Chart

 

Singles

 

1 Oliver Heldens and Becky Hill - Gecko (Overdrive) (34.5k) *

1 Ella Henderson - Ghost (22.1k)

3 Ed Sheeran - Sing (16.2k)

4 Example - One More Day (Stay With Me) (14.6k + 1.4k) *

5 Usher - Good Kisser (11.8k) *

 

6-10

8 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud *

 

11-20

14 Ed Sheeran - Photograph *

15 Ed Sheeran - Don't *

17 Ed Sheeran - The Man *

18 Ed Sheeran - Afire Love *

19 Ed Sheeran - One

 

21-30

21 Ed Sheeran - Bloodstream *

25 Austin Mahone feat. Pitbull - Mmm Yeah *

 

31-40

32 Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike and Martin Garrix - Tremor *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (75.4k) *

2 Lana Del Rey - Ultraviolence (6.2k - 38 copies ahead of Sam Smith)

3 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (6.2k)

4 Coldplay - Ghost Stories (4.5k)

5 Kasabian - 48:13 (4k)

 

6-10

6 Mastodon - Once More 'Round The Sun *

 

11-20

12 Stevie Wonder - Songs In The Key Of Life ^

18 John Legend - Love In The Future

 

21-30

22 Lana Del Rey - Born To Die

23 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

25 Kings Of Leon - Mechanical Bull

29 Chrissie Hynde - Stockholm

 

31-40

32 The 1975 - The 1975

33 Ellie Goulding - Halcyon

34 Passenger - All The Little Lights

38 Bastille - Bad Blood

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Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

 

Source: Radio 1/OCC

 

Top 40 Singles

 

1 Oliver Heldens and Becky Hill - Gecko (Overdrive) (12k ahead of Ella Henderson) *

2 Ella Henderson - Ghost

3 Ed Sheeran - Sing

4 Example - One More Day (Stay With Me) *

5 Usher - Good Kisser *

 

11-20

15 Calvin Harris - Summer

16 Coldplay - A Sky Full Of Stars

17 Pharrell - Happy

20 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud *

 

21-30

25 Austin Mahone feat. Pitbull - Mmm Yeah *

27 Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike and Martin Garrix - Tremor *

 

31-40

31 Ed Sheeran - Don't *

34 Ed Sheeran - Photograph *

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/c...henderson-3113/

 

===================================================

 

Top 40 Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (nearly 100k) *

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour

3 Lana Del Rey - Ultraviolence

4 Coldplay - Ghost Stories

5 Kasabian - 48:13

 

6-10

7 Mastodon - Once More 'Round The Sun *

 

11-20

12 Stevie Wonder - Songs In The Key Of Life ^

17 John Legend - Love In The Future

19 Lana Del Rey - Born To Die

 

21-30

22 London Grammar - If You Wait

23 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

26 Kings Of Leon - Mechanical Bull

30 Chrissie Hynde - Stockholm

 

31-40

31 The 1975 - The 1975

33 Passenger - All The Little Lights

34 Ellie Goulding - Halcyon

36 Eagles - Selected Works 1972-1999

39 Bastille - Bad Blood

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print

 

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/e...-the-year-3112/

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Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Oliver Heldens and Becky Hill - Gecko (Overdrive) *

2 Ella Henderson - Ghost

3 Ed Sheeran - Sing

4 Example - One More Day (Stay With Me) *

5 George Ezra - Budapest

 

6-10

7 Usher - Good Kisser *

8 Mr Probz - Waves

 

11-20

15 Coldplay - A Sky Full Of Stars

16 Calvin Harris - Summer

17 Pharrell - Happy

20 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud *

 

21-30

21 Ed Sheeran - Don't *

27 Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike and Martin Garrix - Tremor *

 

31-40

31 Austin Mahone feat. Pitbull - Mmm Yeah *

38 Ed Sheeran - Photograph *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x *

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour

3 Lana Del Rey - Ultraviolence

4 Coldplay - Ghost Stories

5 Kasabian - 48:13

 

6-10

9 Mastodon - Once More 'Round The Sun *

 

11-20

14 Stevie Wonder - Songs In The Key Of Life ^

17 John Legend - Love In The Future

18 Lana Del Rey - Born To Die

 

21-30

21 London Grammar - If You Wait

23 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

24 The Black Keys - Turn Blue

28 Kings Of Leon - Mechanical Bull

30 The 1975 - The 1975

 

31-40

31 Eagles - Selected Works 1972-1999

32 Passenger - All The Little Lights

33 Ellie Goulding - Halcyon

39 Bastille - Bad Blood

40 Elbow - The Take Off And Landing Of Everything ^

 

NO SALES INFO

Oh god ^^ 8 out 21....think ill give the chart a miss this week though I'm expecting a lot of these to dro by sunday

 

I'm really hoping Oliver Heldens could just sneak a week at the top but I think Gecko may have to settle for a number 2 debut :)

 

I'm excited to see how well Example does this week as he's still top 5 on iTunes which I never expected!

8 out of 21 singles :lol: must be a record to have 8 tracks by an artist inside the top 40, if they stay there.

 

This week's update is going to be so easy to do with hardly new albums in the top 40, there maybe a few obscure ones for today though.

8 out of 21 singles :lol: must be a record to have 8 tracks by an artist inside the top 40, if they stay there.

 

Michael Jackson had 13 of his tracks inside the Top 40, following his death.

Let us pray at least half of these tracks miss the top 40 (unlikely I know but still)
So around 70K for the album first day :| WOW.

 

Coldplay's first day sales were 82k, so :P Seriously though, that's really good for Ed. He should get around 130-140k by the end of the week.

Michael Jackson had 13 of his tracks inside the Top 40, following his death.

 

Ooops... I should have known that, how did I miss it, completely forgotten

8 out of 21 singles :lol: must be a record to have 8 tracks by an artist inside the top 40, if they stay there.

 

For a living artist, at least... :rolleyes:

It's not an impressive achievement, it's very much "engineered success" courtesy of his label unfortunately.

 

Even if it is "engineered success", I doubt there are any others, if any, who could replicate Ed's success like this.

Aren't the majority of the sales of the album tracks legit this week though (apart from Sing which was Sunday's instant grat)? So it is quite an impressive achievement imo as the majority of the sales this week for those songs will be single track downloads (aside from those tagged to pre-orders of the album on Sunday).
Ed Sheeran is the artist I'd least want to have 8 songs in the top 40. He's like the male Dido (I like her but only in small doses).

Tuesday Update - The Cherry Picked Top 40 Chart

 

Singles

 

1 Oliver Heldens and Becky Hill - Gecko (Overdrive) (34.5k) *

1 Ella Henderson - Ghost (22.1k)

3 Ed Sheeran - Sing (16.2k)

4 Example - One More Day (Stay With Me) (14.6k + 1.4k) *

5 Usher - Good Kisser (11.8k) *

 

6-10

8 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud *

 

11-20

14 Ed Sheeran - Photograph *

15 Ed Sheeran - Don't *

17 Ed Sheeran - The Man *

18 Ed Sheeran - Afire Love *

19 Ed Sheeran - One

 

21-30

21 Ed Sheeran - Bloodstream *

25 Austin Mahone feat. Pitbull - Mmm Yeah *

 

31-40

32 Dimitri Vegas & Like Mike and Martin Garrix - Tremor *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (75.4k) *

2 Lana Del Rey - Ultraviolence (6.2k - 38 copies ahead of Sam Smith)

3 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (6.2k)

4 Coldplay - Ghost Stories (4.5k)

5 Kasabian - 48:13 (4k)

 

6-10

6 Mastodon - Once More 'Round The Sun *

 

11-20

12 Stevie Wonder - Songs In The Key Of Life ^

18 John Legend - Love In The Future

 

21-30

22 Lana Del Rey - Born To Die

23 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps

25 Kings Of Leon - Mechanical Bull

29 Chrissie Hynde - Stockholm

 

31-40

32 The 1975 - The 1975

33 Ellie Goulding - Halcyon

34 Passenger - All The Little Lights

38 Bastille - Bad Blood

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