Sunday Chart Predictions

Predicting the 14/12 to 20/12 chart

 

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Will bringing 'Uptown Funk' from the horizon drown Oliver's chances of #1?

This chart marks a rather mysterious one since, as things stand today, there is no clear idea as to what will be #1 tomorrow or next weekend. Oliver Heldens & K Stewart's 'Last All Night (Koala)' is a hot contender although, after surprising all and shooting to the top spot on iTunes with 'Drown', British metalcore band Bring Me the Horizon could potentially claim the top spot in tomorrow's update. The physical copy of Band Aid 30's charity single has been released which could also disrupt things at the top. Not only this, but following its release date being brought forward six weeks to today, Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars' 'Uptown Funk' could snatch the number one before the end of the week. Elsewhere in the chart, new entries should come from Fifth Harmony's 'Bo$$' and CHVRCHES' 'Get Away'.

 

With a busy week of promotion, Ed Sheeran could re-climb to #1 with x for a 10th week. Previous #1s from Take That, One Direction, Sam Smith and George Ezra are continuing to sell well which could see them all complete the Top 5. Popular new entries this week should include Union J's You Got It All - The Album and Bastille's VS. (Other People’s Heartache, Pt. III), with others coming from Andre Rieu, J. Cole, Smashing Pumpkins and The Hobbit: The Battle Of The Five Armies OST and re-entries from Collabro and Sam Bailey.

 

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Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

 

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

 

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

 

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

 

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.

Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

Missing streaming data from Spotify for Sunday

 

Singles

 

1 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (24.3k)

2 Oliver Heldens feat. KStewart - Last All Night (Koala) (17.6k) *

3 Bring Me The Horizon - Drown (14.4k) *

4 Take That - These Days (13.2k)

5 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud (11.6k)

 

6-10

7 Fifth Harmony - BO$$ *

8 One Direction - Night Changes

9 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale Of New York

10 Ella Henderson - Yours

 

11-20

17 CHVRCHES - Get Away *

 

21-30

22 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk *

23 Idina Menzel - Let It Go

24 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

30 James Bay - Hold Back The River

 

31-40

31 George Ezra - Listen To The Man *

32 OneRepublic - Counting Stars ^

33 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday ^

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (32.3k)

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (26.1k)

3 Take That - III (19.0k)

4 Olly Murs - Never Been Better (18.3k)

5 One Direction - FOUR (18.1k)

 

6-10

6 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

9 Michael Bublé - Christmas

 

11-20

11 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

13 Union J - You Got It All - The Album *

15 Bette Midler - It's The Girls!

16 Dolly Parton - Blue Smoke - The Best Of

17 The Script - No Sound Without Silence

19 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

20 Collabro - Stars ^

 

21-30

21 Bastille - VS. - Other People's Heartache Pt. III *

22 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia

25 Dave Arch and The Strictly Come Dancing Band - Strictly Come Dancing

27 Calvin Harris - Motion

 

31-40

34 David Bowie - Nothing has changed.

36 OneRepublic - Native ^

40 Smashing Pumpkins - Monuments To An Elegy *

Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

Source: Radio 1/OCC

 

Top 40 Singles

 

1 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk (34.3k) *

2 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (31.7k)

3 Oliver Heldens feat. KStewart - Last All Night (Koala) (22.3k) *

4 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud (20.3k)

5 Take That - These Days (19.3k)

 

6-10

6 Bring Me The Horizon - Drown *

8 One Direction - Night Changes

9 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale Of New York

10 Fifth Harmony - BO$$ *

 

21-30

23 Idina Menzel - Let It Go

24 CHVRCHES - Get Away *

30 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

 

31-40

34 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday ^

36 Wham! - Last Christmas

38 George Ezra - Listen To The Man *

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

 

===================================================

 

Top 40 Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (52.9k)

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (40.5k)

3 One Direction - FOUR (30.4k)

4 Olly Murs - Never Been Better (29.5k)

5 Take That - III (28.8k)

 

6-10

6 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

9 Taylor Swift - 1989

10 Michael Bublé - Christmas

 

11-20

11 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

13 Bette Midler - It's The Girls!

15 Dolly Parton - Blue Smoke - The Best Of

16 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

19 Union J - You Got It All - The Album *

20 Collabro - Stars ^

 

21-30

23 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia

24 Calvin Harris - Motion

25 Neil Diamond - Melody Road

27 Dave Arch and The Strictly Come Dancing Band - Strictly Come Dancing

29 J. Cole - 2014 Forest Hills Drive *

 

31-40

31 Bastille - VS. - Other People's Heartache Pt. III *

35 David Bowie - Nothing has changed.

37 Coldplay - Ghost Stories ^

 

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print

Thursday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk (53.1k) *

2 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (37.6k)

3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud (26.5k)

4 Oliver Heldens feat. KStewart - Last All Night (Koala) (26.4k) *

5 Take That - These Days (24.2k)

 

6-10

7 One Direction - Night Changes

8 Bring Me The Horizon - Drown *

9 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale Of New York

 

11-20

11 Fifth Harmony - BO$$ *

 

21-30

22 Idina Menzel - Let It Go

24 Hozier - Take Me To Church

30 CHVRCHES - Get Away *

 

31-40

33 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday ^

36 Wham! - Last Christmas

38 George Ezra - Listen To The Man *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x (71.7k)

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (54.4k)

3 One Direction - FOUR (40.8k)

4 Olly Murs - Never Been Better (40.0k)

5 Take That - III (37.6k)

 

6-10

6 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

9 Taylor Swift - 1989

10 Michael Bublé - Christmas

 

11-20

11 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

12 Bette Midler - It's The Girls!

15 Dolly Parton - Blue Smoke - The Best Of

16 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

19 Collabro - Stars ^

20 Union J - You Got It All - The Album *

 

21-30

23 Calvin Harris - Motion

24 Neil Diamond - Melody Road

25 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia

26 J. Cole - 2014 Forest Hills Drive *

27 Dave Arch and The Strictly Come Dancing Band - Strictly Come Dancing

 

31-40

35 David Bowie - Nothing has changed.

36 Bastille - VS. - Other People's Heartache Pt. III *

37 Coldplay - Ghost Stories ^

Friday Update Top 40 Only

 

Singles

 

1 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk *

2 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014)

3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud

4 Oliver Heldens feat. KStewart - Last All Night (Koala) *

5 Take That - These Days

 

6-10

7 One Direction - Night Changes

8 Bring Me The Horizon - Drown *

9 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale Of New York

 

11-20

15 Fifth Harmony - BO$$ *

 

21-30

22 Idina Menzel - Let It Go

23 Hozier - Take Me To Church

 

31-40

32 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday ^

34 CHVRCHES - Get Away *

35 Wham! - Last Christmas

38 George Ezra - Listen To The Man *

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

1 Ed Sheeran - x

2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour

3 Olly Murs - Never Been Better

4 One Direction - FOUR

5 Take That - III

 

6-10

6 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage

9 Taylor Swift - 1989

10 Michael Bublé - Christmas

 

11-20

11 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

12 Bette Midler - It's The Girls!

15 Dolly Parton - Blue Smoke - The Best Of

16 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

19 Collabro - Stars ^

 

21-30

21 Calvin Harris - Motion

22 Union J - You Got It All - The Album *

23 Neil Diamond - Melody Road

25 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia

27 J. Cole - 2014 Forest Hills Drive *

28 Dave Arch and The Strictly Come Dancing Band - Strictly Come Dancing

 

31-40

34 David Bowie - Nothing has changed.

36 Coldplay - Ghost Stories ^

40 Bastille - VS. - Other People's Heartache Pt. III *

 

NO SALES INFO

Predictions:

 

01 (NE) Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars "Uptown Funk"

02 (01) Ed Sheehan "Thinking Out Loud"

03 (12) Band Aid 30 "Do They Know It's Christmas"

04 (04) Taylor Swift "Blank Space"

05 (NE) Oliver Heldens ft. KStewart "Last All Night (Koala)"

 

Union J to fall 2-18.

Possibly the most unpredictable chart of the year? Although Mark Ronson are probably looking like a safe number 1 even without Sunday sales/streams. I'm really interested to see how Band Aid's physical sells, can't really predict it, it'll need something big to make up for this huge decline.

Edited December 8, 201411 yr by FrostytheWallaby

Oh so Uptown Funk has been brought forward? Sensible decision really. Might still not be enough to dislodge Sheeran.

Mark Ronson for number one :cheer:

We may get one or two more Christmas songs in the chart tomorrow as both iTunes and Google Play are selling a number of them at knockdown prices.

 

iTunes has a number of Christmas songs for 59p including The Pogues featuring Kirsty MacColl, Wizzard and Bing Crosby. Google Play are selling them for a mere 19p! In addition to the three acts mentioned Google Play also have Slade, Shakin' Stevens and John Lennon for 19p. And even more of a bargain - both 'All I Want For Christmas Is You' by Mariah Carey and 'Last Christmas' by Wham are currently free to download on Google Play. I don't know if sales from Google Play of the last two tracks will be chart eligible though. However, if they were sold for a mere penny then they definitely would be chart eligible so long as Google Play pays the minimum dealer price of 40p to the record label so does selling them for 1p less make those sales chart ineligible?

But Gecko had a bit of streaming support. So it may end up like this:

1. Uptown Funk
2. Koala
3. Band Aid
4. Taylor
5. TOL (Fingers crossed!)

sales will probably get Baid #2 and Taylor #3.

It is all a bit up the air this week but that's exactly why it's so interesting! Already had a fair few changes of iTunes #1 this week and could be in store for more. Incredibly open, just a shame some have a massive streaming advantage because if it were a sales only week I would have absolutely no idea who'd be #1!

It's not up in the air at all. Mark Ronson will very easily be number 1 on sales, and quite possibly Top 10 on streaming too. Had he not been released then the #1 on sales only would've been difficult to call but there would have been no stopping Ed Sheeran on yet another low sales week.

Uptown Funk should easily dislodge Ed Sheeran 57k for last week should easily surpassed 95k+ surely, it be interesting to see how well Band Aid 30 will do on physicals, also not forgetting all the promo on TV with Ed performing, its going to be an interesting week.

 

Its a shame really as it might go back to #1 in the new year, after the X Factor winners single, if the track gets there. If Fleur wins she might even release her version of Uptown Funk as her winners single, Simon knows he be on the money with it.

I wonder where Fleur would have ended up if her song had been allowed to chart, also Uptown Funk being brought forward could actually cost the x-factor winner a number one

Will be interesting to see how well the Band Aid 30 physical CD is selling. Will get a better idea of how much it will impact the chart tomorrow. Unless that sells a ridiculously large amount, I can't see anyone beating Mark Ronson & Bruno Mars this week.

Its a shame really as it might go back to #1 in the new year, after the X Factor winners single, if the track gets there. If Fleur wins she might even release her version of Uptown Funk as her winners single, Simon knows he be on the money with it.

There's no way they'd be allowed to do that. You can't just push a single that is a cover of a song that's been released the week before, especially one that's guarenteed to be at least Top 2 :lol:

I wonder where Fleur would have ended up if her song had been allowed to chart, also Uptown Funk being brought forward could actually cost the x-factor winner a number one

I can guarantee the XF winner won't be in any danger :lol: i'm assuming that Sam Bailey's piss-poor sales from last year were just a blip and the winner (i'm guessing it's likely this Fleur East person will win?) will be back to selling around 300k+ or so~

 

This is going to be so interesting this week, glad it looks like Ed wont be #1 again

There's no way they'd be allowed to do that. You can't just push a single that is a cover of a song that's been released the week before, especially one that's guarenteed to be at least Top 2 :lol:

 

Well... I was clutching at straws :magic: