November 6, 20241 yr Author So far it seems like Harris is consistently outperforming Biden 2020 in... most counties by a few points and particularly those near any sort of city. Some rural counties that are in are shifting red but not that many of them. This seems to be more true further north, I think Florida is lost and Georgia is... iffy at the moment.
November 6, 20241 yr Georgia isn't looking fantastic but It all comes down to the suburban and urban voter turnout and I believe that especially the Metro-Atlanta area might secure her the win there. Then again, Georgia will surely be one of the tightest races of the election.
November 6, 20241 yr More good signs for Harris in the north - she is outperforming Biden in Ohio's Stark and Warren counties!
November 6, 20241 yr Author The first drops for NC look good but it's like 2%. Definitely holding onto the good signs in the north - and Georgia's metros look good but the rurals look trash.
November 6, 20241 yr 90-27 now, Trump takes Florida, Oklahoma, Missouri, Tennessee & Alabama. Harris takes Massachusetts, D.C. & Maryland
November 6, 20241 yr Trump is building up quite a lead now but Kamala can definitely turn it around. I'm less sure.
November 6, 20241 yr all the states that have been called for trump have been solid red states (inc. Florida)—let's hold off on the doomerism for at least a few hours anyway PA results are coming in, let's see if I've been living in a deep red state this whole time
November 6, 20241 yr re: Georgia, worth nothing that most of Georgia's "blue belt" across the center of the state haven't reported yet
November 6, 20241 yr all the states that have been called for trump have been solid red states (inc. Florida)—let's hold off on the doomerism for at least a few hours It was the rightward near-complete results drop of Loudoun County Virginia (wealthy DC suburbs) that suggested it might be time to start dooming.
November 6, 20241 yr Author 105-27 to Trump now. Sheesh! This electoral college margin was expected at this point in the night. Vote totals aren't looking as great as I'd want to but it's still too early to tell in key states.
November 6, 20241 yr It was the rightward near-complete results drop of Loudoun County Virginia (wealthy DC suburbs) that suggested it might be time to start dooming. wasn't aware of that but here's a possible explanation for it: @1853965656066003360 @1853967607222657248 hopium or copium, only time will tell! re: georgia, it seems (from people I follow who know what they're talking about) the current results represent early votes, which skewed older and GOP this year. so a red mirage is possible.
Create an account or sign in to comment