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Friday Chart Predictions

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Gracie Abrams could remain at the top spot for a sixth week, with the christmas contenders from Wham! and Mariah giving chase. On the new singles front, Sky Ferreira returns with Leash from the Babygirl soundtrack, Skepta teams up with Lex Luger for Alpha Omega, while V joins Bing Crosby on White Christmas. There's also new tracks from Sam Fender, Hozier, Bad Bunny, Rebecca Black, David Kushner, Alok, Quavo, Roddy Ricch, Ceechynaa and Marina Sena

 

ROSÉ's debut solo record rosie heads this week's new releases, which include Lauren Mayberry's Vicious Creature, TV Girl & George Clanton's collaborative LP Fauxllennium and TWICE's latest EP Strategy. There's also new albums out from Dua Lipa, André Rieu, Nettspend, Smino, Rich Amiri, Cameron Winter, White Denim, Fennesz, Lil Tjay, YoungBoy Never Broke Again and Babymorocco

 

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Sunday 6:00pm - 7:00pm Official Chart: First Look on BBC Radio 1

Monday from 5:45pm Official Chart Update on officialcharts.com *

Wednesday from 5:45pm Top 40 update from Music Week, with top 5 sales information

 

* updates are not compiled on bank holiday Mondays, so on those occasions, the Official Chart Update will arrive Tuesday during the afternoon.

 

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- As per the Friday chart thread, please do NOT post First Look spoilers before it airs on BBC Radio 1.

- On any other days, information may come from outside sources but this is not regular. Anything we have will be posted, and anything that's posted must come with a source to prove its reliability.

- Please do not demand a midweek update, one will be posted as and when we receive the information, and when a chart mod is available.

- To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action, please refer to the iTunes and streaming threads.

 

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Official Chart First Look: Full Update

 

:up: 1 Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas Is You

:up: 2 Tom Grennan - It Can't Be Christmas

:down: 3 Wham! - Last Christmas

:down: 4 Gracie Abrams - That's So True

:down: 5 ROSÉ & Bruno Mars - APT.

:right: 6 Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree

:up: 7 Laufey - Christmas Magic

:up: 8 Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock

:up: 9 Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me

:up: 10 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale of New York

 

:down: 11 Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas?

:right: 12 Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree

:up: 13 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone

:up: 14 Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year

:up: 15 Elton John - Step Into Christmas

:down: 16 Cynthia Erivo feat. Ariana Grande - Defying Gravity

:up: 17 Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas

:up: 18 Teddy Swims - The Door

:up: 19 Lola Young - Messy

:up: 20 Sia - Snowman

 

Official Charts Report

 

Could it be tiiiime? Mariah Carey’s All I Want For Christmas Is You may reach Number 1 on the UK’s Official Singles Chart this week, but Tom Grennan and WHAM! are hot on her heels.

 

Rising from last week’s Number 5, All I Want For Christmas Is You leads the Official Chart: First Look following the airing of her Mariah Meets Rylan interview on BBC Two over the weekend, plus the release of new CD, 12” and 7” vinyl variants to mark the song’s 30th anniversary.

 

Mariah’s perennial Christmas classic first reached Number 1 in the UK in 2020, spending two weeks in the top spot. We’re a week away from the starting horn of the Christmas Number 1 race – can Mariah claim the ultimate Christmas accolade come December 20th?

 

Mariah has the edge at the halfway point of this week, but less than 300 chart sales separate the Top 3. Fresh from another weekend of putting up the Christmas tree, Tom Grennan’s Amazon exclusive It Can’t Be Christmas surges 23 places to 2, and WHAM!’s Last Christmas drops one place to 3.

 

Last week’s Number 1 Gracie Abrams could see her five-week reign with That’s So True come to an end, with it currently placing at Number 4 midweek.

 

Another new Christmas song rising the ranks is Laufey’s Christmas Magic. The Icelandic-Chinese artist’s 2024 Amazon Original made its Top 40 debut last week (39) and is tracking to rise 32 spots (7).

 

Finally, cutting through Christmas is Lola Young. Her breakthrough track Messy marked her first Top 40 single last week when it entered at Number 35, and it’s risen 16 places midweek to Number 19. Lola soundtracked the John Lewis Christmas ad in 2021, and was nominated for BRITs Rising Star and BBC Sound Of… the same year, losing out to Holly Humberstone and PinkPantheress.

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Official Chart Update

 

Singles (Top 100)

 

:up: 01 Wham! - Last Christmas (18,809)

:up: 02 Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas Is You (18,444)

:up: 03 Tom Grennan - It Can't Be Christmas (16,427)

:down: 04 Gracie Abrams - That's So True (14,006)

:down: 05 ROSÉ & Bruno Mars - APT. (13,376)

 

:up: 07 Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock

:up: 08 Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me

:up: 09 Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree

:up: 10 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale of New York

 

:up: 11 Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year

:up: 12 Laufey - Christmas Magic

:up: 14 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone

:up: 15 Elton John - Step Into Christmas

:up: 16 Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas

:up: 18 Sia - Snowman

:up: 19 The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride

:up: 20 José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad

 

:up: 21 Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas

:up: 22 Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow!

:up: 23 Lola Young - Messy

:re: 24 Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime

:re: 25 Chris Rea - Driving Home for Christmas

:re: 27 Leona Lewis - One More Sleep

:re: 28 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday

:re: 30 John Lennon, Yoko Ono & the Plastic Ono Band - Happy Xmas (War Is Over)

 

:up: 31 Chrystal - The Days

:ne: 32 Sabrina Carpenter - A Nonsense Christmas

:re: 35 Slade - Merry Xmas Everybody

:ne: 37 John Williams - Carol of the Bells

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums (Top 100)

 

:right: 01 Taylor Swift - THE TORTURED POETS DEPARTMENT (16,465) [14,814 physicals, 1,635 streaming, 16 downloads]

:ne: 02 Sabrina Carpenter - fruitcake (7,117)

:down: 03 Sabrina Carpenter - Short n' Sweet (4,754)

:ne: 04 ROSÉ - rosie (4,730)

:down: 05 Michael Bublé - Christmas (4,531)

 

:up: 06 Chappell Roan - The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess

:re: 08 Hozier - Unreal Unearth

 

:re: 11 Coldplay - Moon Music

:up: 16 Fleetwood Mac - Rumours

 

:ne: 21 White Denim - 12

:ne: 22 Jethro Tull - The Jethro Tull Christmas Album

:up: 23 Oasis - (What's the Story) Morning Glory?

:ne: 27 Lauren Mayberry - Vicious Creature

:ne: 28 Gillian Welch & David Rawlings - Woodland

:ne: 30 André Rieu & Johann Strauss Orchestra - The Sound of Heaven

 

:up: 34 Teddy Swims - I've Tried Everything But Therapy (Part 1)

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Music Week Top 40 Sales Flash

 

Singles

 

:up: 01 Wham! - Last Christmas (28,470)

:up: 02 Mariah Carey - All I Want for Christmas Is You (27,064)

:down: 03 Gracie Abrams - That's So True (24,797)

:down: 04 ROSÉ & Bruno Mars - APT. (22,058)

:up: 05 Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (20,360)

 

:up: 06 Tom Grennan - It Can't Be Christmas

:up: 07 Bobby Helms - Jingle Bell Rock

:up: 08 Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me

:up: 09 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale of New York

:up: 10 Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree

 

:up: 11 Andy Williams - It's the Most Wonderful Time of the Year

:up: 14 Elton John - Step Into Christmas

:up: 15 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone

:up: 16 Michael Bublé - It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christmas

:up: 17 Lola Young - Messy

:up: 18 Laufey - Christmas Magic

:up: 19 Sia - Snowman

:up: 20 The Ronettes - Sleigh Ride

 

:up: 21 Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow!

:up: 22 Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas

:up: 23 José Feliciano - Feliz Navidad

:ne: 25 Sabrina Carpenter - A Nonsense Christmas

:re: 26 Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime

:re: 28 Chris Rea - Driving Home for Christmas

:up: 29 Chrystal - The Days

:re: 30 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday

 

:re: 34 John Lennon, Yoko Ono & the Plastic Ono Band - Happy Xmas (War Is Over)

:re: 38 Leona Lewis - One More Sleep

:re: 40 Slade - Merry Xmas Everybody

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

 

Albums

 

:right: 01 Taylor Swift - THE TORTURED POETS DEPARTMENT (19,452) [16,512 physicals, 2,918 streaming, 22 downloads]

:ne: 02 ROSÉ - rosie (8,466)

:down: 03 Sabrina Carpenter - Short n' Sweet (8,356)

:ne: 04 Sabrina Carpenter - fruitcake (7,862)

:down: 05 Michael Bublé - Christmas (7,038)

 

:up: 06 Chappell Roan - The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess

:up: 08 Billie Eilish - HIT ME HARD AND SOFT

:re: 10 Coldplay - Moon Music

 

:re: 14 Hozier - Unreal Unearth

:up: 16 Alfie Boe & Michael Ball - Together At Home

 

:ne: 23 André Rieu & Johann Strauss Orchestra - The Sound of Heaven

 

:ne: 33 White Denim - 12

:ne: 38 Lauren Mayberry - Vicious Creature

 

:ne: 43 Jethro Tull - The Jethro Tull Christmas Album

:ne: 44 Dua Lipa - Dua Lipa Live at the Royal Albert Hall

Should be an easy week to predict

 

1. Gracie

2. Wham

3. Mariah

4. APT

5. Rocking around the Christmas tree

6. Defying gravity

7. Ed & Elton

8. Jingle bells rock

9. Santa tell me

10. Underneath the tree

 

Maybe Peggy for the only new entry in the top 40

Hoping 'APT.' stays at #3 for a record-breaking 6th consecutive week - sorry Mariah (she won't be #1 anyway, even with the physicals).
Honestly if someone blocks Kelly from going top 10 again I'm gonna scream. That song deserves to be top 10 it's the best modern Christmas song out there!
Honestly if someone blocks Kelly from going top 10 again I'm gonna scream. That song deserves to be top 10 it's the best modern Christmas song out there!

 

Well she’s #4 on Apple Music so if anything 10 should be the bare minimum this week

what does it matter where Kelly is on Apple

last week Shakin Stevens was #2 on Apple all week and ended up at #18 come Friday

Apple is the outlet that matters the least during Dec

 

APT being #3 depends on how many physical Mariah sells

This week is usually pretty poor for Christmas songs isn’t it? Most of them tend to go backwards from the week that includes the 1 December spike.
what does it matter where Kelly is on Apple

last week Shakin Stevens was #2 on Apple all week and ended up at #18 come Friday

Apple is the outlet that matters the least during Dec

 

APT being #3 depends on how many physical Mariah sells

 

It’s just a high placement higher than usual and she already does well everywhere else

Apologies for off-message: is there a thread listing all charity songs that have made the Singles chart please?

Many thanks.

Leona Lewis' One More Sleep gets my Christmas song vote this year, it has grown on me.

Skepta teams up with Lex Luger for Alpha Omega

 

Destination Eschaton vibes with that album title

15 to First Look!

Don't forget to vote for Justin Bieber's Mistletoe in the 2010s Christmas songs please! :teresa: :P

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