With a little under 24 hours to go until the release of The Boy Who Played the Harp, what do you think its opening sales will look like? PSYCHODRAMA opened with 26,390 in 2019; We're All Alone In This Together opened with 74,191 in 2021.

40-60k for me!

I think 30-40k. Pretty good, but I think it'll be significantly lower than last time.

A little bit of a drop off from the last album I think. Possibly around 60k. Although I find these things are always hard to predict!

@danG 100k+ is a very bold prediction

Edited October 23Oct 23 by Mangø

I think he can do 100K+ easily the UK's biggest rapper right now and his sales are on an upwards trajectory.

I don't think he'll do bigger this time. He might have peaked already, so about the same as last album's or fewer.

Surely the biggest UK rapper now is Central Cee? Can't see this doing better than 60k.

Cautiously went 60-80k, feels like the last album's numbers are at least doable, except that 4+ years seems a long time and I'm not sure how much the singles since (most notably 'Sprinter') have helped keep that fanbase in place.

Maybe 40k. A song or two might be big beyond the release day but as we know that doesn't really carry an album.

Voted for the 80k - 100k bracket with a specific prediction of 83k

I can imagine a healthy level of hype for this, following on from two acclaimed albums and having to wait 4 years for it

Here's hoping the quality is up there with his first two!

41 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Surely the biggest UK rapper now is Central Cee?

Depends what you're measuring I'd say. On a worldwide stage I'd say Cench is definitely the biggest UK rapper, but domestically I'd argue Dave still has him beat. We'll see how Dave's new album does of course, but in terms of streaming equivalent album sales Cench did 22.5k earlier this year with a 17 track album (therefore 16 tracks counting towards album streaming sales) while WAAITT did 32.5k despite only having 12 tracks. If TBWPTH can get more than 22.5k streaming sales despite only having 10 tracks I'd definitely still say Dave is the biggest UK rapper domestically.

60-80k im guessing similar to last time but who knows ,

I’ve went for between 60-80k!

I’m here for this album though. I’ll be honest and say this type of genre (especially amongst British acts) doesn’t usually do much for me but Dave’s almost an exception and i genuinely find myself mesmerised when it comes to his albums. Two of the strongest back to back debut / sophomore albums that I can think of from recent memory.

Thinking streams will be huge initially and I think he may do decent on paid sales too. I think he could push for 60K.

This opened with 73,779 in the end and 11 of us correctly predicted 60-80k!

The following people were correct