Feel sorry for those of you who have betted so much money on Bieber :( I was very tempted myself when his odds were longer but never got round to it. Glad I didn't now!

2nd NHS version to #6 :yahoo:

Combined/Weighted

As of 1.4 hours ago

 

http://a4.mzstatic.com/eu/r30/Music/v4/ba/72/34/ba72348e-5141-f32c-0a85-6a3989863a78/cover170x170.jpeg

 

01 - 1.0000 - The Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Choir - A Bridge Over You (Radio Edit)

02 - 0.3405 - Justin Bieber - Love Yourself

03 - 0.2215 - Justin Bieber - Sorry

04 - 0.2004 - Grace - You Don't Own Me (feat. G-Eazy)

05 - 0.1859 - Sigala - Sweet Lovin' (feat. Bryn Christopher) [Radio Edit]

06 - 0.1704 - Adele - Hello

07 - 0.1605 - One Direction - History

08 - 0.1279 - Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime

09 - 0.1097 - 99 Souls - The Girl Is Mine (feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy)

10 - 0.0992 - Fleur East - Sax

 

11 - 0.0977 - Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean?

12 - 0.0977 - Stormzy - Shut Up (Studio Version)

13 - 0.0767 - Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home

14 - 0.0730 - Jess Glynne - Take Me Home (BBC Children In Need Single 2015)

15 - 0.0729 - Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You

16 - 0.0722 - Shawn Mendes - Stitches

17 - 0.0665 - Craig David & Big Narstie - When the Bassline Drops

18 - 0.0661 - Robin Schulz - Sugar (feat. Francesco Yates)

19 - 0.0636 - The Pogues - Fairytale of New York (feat. Kirsty MacColl)

20 - 0.0633 - Little Mix - Love Me Like You

 

21 - 0.0615 - One Direction - Perfect

22 - 0.0550 - David Guetta - Bang my Head (feat. Sia & Fetty Wap)

23 - 0.0533 - WSTRN - In2

24 - 0.0511 - The Weeknd - The Hills

25 - 0.0502 - Naughty Boy - Runnin' (Lose It All) [feat. Beyoncé & Arrow Benjamin]

26 - 0.0496 - Drake - Hotline Bling

27 - 0.0450 - Snakehips - All My Friends (feat. Tinashe & Chance The Rapper)

28 - 0.0428 - MNEK & Zara Larsson - Never Forget You

29 - 0.0427 - Olly Murs - Kiss Me

30 - 0.0421 - Sia - Alive

 

31 - 0.0414 - Years & Years - Eyes Shut

32 - 0.0390 - WALK THE MOON - Shut Up and Dance

33 - 0.0389 - The Weeknd - Can't Feel My Face

34 - 0.0378 - Jamie Lawson - Wasn't Expecting That

35 - 0.0349 - Louisa Johnson - Forever Young

36 - 0.0322 - Nathan Sykes - Over and Over Again

37 - 0.0313 - Taylor Swift - Wildest Dreams

38 - 0.0293 - Adele - When We Were Young

39 - 0.0291 - Major Lazer - Light It Up (feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG) [Remix]

40 - 0.0289 - Roy Wood & Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday

 

41 - 0.0287 - Little Mix - Secret Love Song (feat. Jason Derulo)

42 - 0.0276 - Sam Smith - Writing's on the Wall

43 - 0.0276 - Wham! - Last Christmas (Single Version)

44 - 0.0271 - Little Mix - Black Magic

45 - 0.0262 - KDA - Turn the Music Louder (Rumble) [feat. Tinie Tempah & Katy B] [Radio Edit]

46 - 0.0262 - Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone

47 - 0.0248 - Fetty Wap - 679 (feat. Monty)

48 - 0.0240 - Elle King - Ex's & Oh's

49 - 0.0231 - Chris Rea - Driving Home for Christmas

50 - 0.0206 - Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree

 

51 - 0.0205 - Jess Glynne - Don't Be So Hard On Yourself

52 - 0.0204 - The Weeknd - In the Night

53 - 0.0197 - Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

54 - 0.0182 - Selena Gomez - Hands To Myself

55 - 0.0181 - Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk (feat. Bruno Mars)

56 - 0.0181 - Pia Mia - Touch

57 - 0.0179 - Silentó - Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae)

58 - 0.0179 - Stormzy - WickedSkengMan 4 (Studio Version)

59 - 0.0178 - Ariana Grande - Focus

60 - 0.0178 - Charlie Puth - One Call Away

 

61 - 0.0178 - Kylie Minogue - Only You (feat. James Corden)

62 - 0.0176 - Blinkie - Don't Give Up (On Love) [Radio Edit]

63 - 0.0165 - Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas?

64 - 0.0165 - Justin Bieber - I'll Show You

65 - 0.0160 - Jess Glynne - Hold My Hand

66 - 0.0153 - Elton John - Step Into Christmas (Radio Mix)

67 - 0.0150 - Macklemore & Ryan Lewis - Downtown (feat. Eric Nally, Melle Mel, Kool Moe Dee & Grandmaster Caz)

68 - 0.0146 - Stevie Wonder & Andra Day - Someday at Christmas

69 - 0.0144 - Calvin Harris & Disciples - How Deep Is Your Love

70 - 0.0142 - Lou Monte - Dominic the Donkey

 

71 - 0.0142 - R. City - Locked Away (feat. Adam Levine)

72 - 0.0140 - Ed Sheeran - Photograph

73 - 0.0140 - Michael Bublé - It's Beginning To Look a Lot Like Christmas

74 - 0.0139 - Martin Solveig - +1 (feat. Sam White) [Radio Edit]

75 - 0.0137 - Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me

76 - 0.0137 - Elvis Presley - Burning Love

77 - 0.0136 - Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! (Remastered)

78 - 0.0136 - Rudimental - Lay It All on Me (feat. Ed Sheeran)

79 - 0.0132 - Diplo & Sleepy Tom - Be Right There

80 - 0.0132 - Jason Derulo - Want to Want Me

 

81 - 0.0130 - Chris Brown - Back to Sleep

82 - 0.0128 - Disturbed - The Sound of Silence

83 - 0.0128 - Ellie Goulding - Love Me Like You Do (From "Fifty Shades Of Grey")

84 - 0.0128 - Jack Garratt - Breathe Life

85 - 0.0128 - Taylor Swift - Bad Blood

86 - 0.0128 - Years & Years - Shine

87 - 0.0127 - Pia Mia - Do It Again (feat. Chris Brown & Tyga)

88 - 0.0125 - The 1975 - UGH!

89 - 0.0123 - Ellie Goulding - On My Mind

90 - 0.0123 - One Direction - Drag Me Down

 

Bieber not encouraging his fans to keep him at number one though? Although Bieber is 60% behind, he's increased by over 50,000 streams in comparison to yesterday and currently has 498,807 streams in comparison to NHS who has less than 27,000. I still think over 460,000 streams advantage is too much for NHS to overcome.

It will go down to the wire but at the moment it looks like:

 

Justin 62.7k + 13k (today - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + 13k (tomorrow - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + missing 7k streams unreported in today's mids = 95.7k

NHS Choir 62.1k + 16k + 16k = 94.1k

 

It really all depends on whether the choir continue to gain momentum, and manage an 18-20k day tomorrow, or if they drop back a bit...just a little final push could give them the extra 2k they need to win.

Edited December 23, 20159 yr by gooddelta

Is Lou Monte 59p?

^^ Time to place £5 on Bieber at 16/1 then!

It will go down to the wire but at the moment it looks like:

 

Justin 62.7k + 13k (today - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + 13k (tomorrow - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + missing 7k streams unreported in today's mids = 95.7k

NHS Choir 62.1k + 16k + 16k = 94.1k

 

It really all depends on whether the choir continue to gain momentum, and manage an 18-20k day tomorrow, or if they drop back a bit...just a little final push could give them the extra 2k they need to win.

 

The Bieber endorsement will have been enough to give them the edge I think, especially since I was clearly wrong about how much they would close in in today's mids (I feel a bit skeptical about that to be honest, but it is what it is!)

It will go down to the wire but at the moment it looks like:

 

Justin 62.7k + 13k (today - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + 13k (tomorrow - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + missing 7k streams unreported in today's mids = 95.7k

NHS Choir 62.1k + 16k + 16k = 94.1k

 

It really all depends on whether the choir continue to gain momentum, and manage an 18-20k day tomorrow, or if they drop back a bit...just a little final push could give them the extra 2k they need to win.

though they haven't mentioned a 7 k streams missing data in todays update

They wouldn't, but I don't remember a Wednesday update since streaming was added when it hasn't missed Tuesday's streams...

Combined/Weighted

As of 0.1 hours ago

 

http://a4.mzstatic.com/eu/r30/Music/v4/ba/72/34/ba72348e-5141-f32c-0a85-6a3989863a78/cover170x170.jpeg

 

01 - 1.0000 - The Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Choir - A Bridge Over You (Radio Edit)

02 - 0.3019 - Justin Bieber - Love Yourself

03 - 0.1959 - Justin Bieber - Sorry

04 - 0.1762 - Grace - You Don't Own Me (feat. G-Eazy)

05 - 0.1647 - Sigala - Sweet Lovin' (feat. Bryn Christopher) [Radio Edit]

06 - 0.1536 - Adele - Hello

07 - 0.1425 - One Direction - History

08 - 0.1113 - Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime

09 - 0.0958 - 99 Souls - The Girl Is Mine (feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy)

10 - 0.0900 - Fleur East - Sax

 

11 - 0.0874 - Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean?

12 - 0.0860 - Stormzy - Shut Up (Studio Version)

13 - 0.0665 - Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home

14 - 0.0646 - Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You

15 - 0.0640 - Shawn Mendes - Stitches

16 - 0.0639 - Jess Glynne - Take Me Home (BBC Children In Need Single 2015)

17 - 0.0593 - Robin Schulz - Sugar (feat. Francesco Yates)

18 - 0.0584 - Craig David & Big Narstie - When the Bassline Drops

19 - 0.0582 - The Pogues - Fairytale of New York (feat. Kirsty MacColl)

20 - 0.0565 - Little Mix - Love Me Like You

 

21 - 0.0547 - One Direction - Perfect

22 - 0.0486 - David Guetta - Bang my Head (feat. Sia & Fetty Wap)

23 - 0.0467 - WSTRN - In2

24 - 0.0462 - The Weeknd - The Hills

25 - 0.0442 - Naughty Boy - Runnin' (Lose It All) [feat. Beyoncé & Arrow Benjamin]

26 - 0.0440 - Drake - Hotline Bling

27 - 0.0409 - Snakehips - All My Friends (feat. Tinashe & Chance The Rapper)

28 - 0.0384 - MNEK & Zara Larsson - Never Forget You

29 - 0.0377 - Olly Murs - Kiss Me

30 - 0.0370 - Years & Years - Eyes Shut

 

31 - 0.0363 - Sia - Alive

32 - 0.0342 - The Weeknd - Can't Feel My Face

33 - 0.0342 - WALK THE MOON - Shut Up and Dance

34 - 0.0339 - Jamie Lawson - Wasn't Expecting That

35 - 0.0301 - Louisa Johnson - Forever Young

36 - 0.0286 - Nathan Sykes - Over and Over Again

37 - 0.0276 - Taylor Swift - Wildest Dreams

38 - 0.0262 - Little Mix - Secret Love Song (feat. Jason Derulo)

39 - 0.0259 - Roy Wood & Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday

40 - 0.0258 - Major Lazer - Light It Up (feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG) [Remix]

 

41 - 0.0255 - Adele - When We Were Young

42 - 0.0250 - Wham! - Last Christmas (Single Version)

43 - 0.0247 - Little Mix - Black Magic

44 - 0.0246 - Sam Smith - Writing's on the Wall

45 - 0.0232 - KDA - Turn the Music Louder (Rumble) [feat. Tinie Tempah & Katy B] [Radio Edit]

46 - 0.0232 - Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone

47 - 0.0221 - Elle King - Ex's & Oh's

48 - 0.0218 - Fetty Wap - 679 (feat. Monty)

49 - 0.0213 - Chris Rea - Driving Home for Christmas

50 - 0.0184 - Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree

 

51 - 0.0179 - The Weeknd - In the Night

52 - 0.0177 - Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

53 - 0.0175 - Jess Glynne - Don't Be So Hard On Yourself

54 - 0.0170 - Kylie Minogue - Only You (feat. James Corden)

55 - 0.0166 - Mark Ronson - Uptown Funk (feat. Bruno Mars)

56 - 0.0163 - Charlie Puth - One Call Away

57 - 0.0160 - Ariana Grande - Focus

58 - 0.0160 - Silentó - Watch Me (Whip / Nae Nae)

59 - 0.0158 - Pia Mia - Touch

60 - 0.0156 - Blinkie - Don't Give Up (On Love) [Radio Edit]

 

61 - 0.0156 - Selena Gomez - Hands To Myself

62 - 0.0156 - Stormzy - WickedSkengMan 4 (Studio Version)

63 - 0.0149 - Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas?

64 - 0.0145 - Justin Bieber - I'll Show You

65 - 0.0143 - Grace - You Don't Own Me (Radio Mix)

66 - 0.0139 - Jess Glynne - Hold My Hand

67 - 0.0136 - Elton John - Step Into Christmas (Radio Mix)

68 - 0.0133 - Macklemore & Ryan Lewis - Downtown (feat. Eric Nally, Melle Mel, Kool Moe Dee & Grandmaster Caz)

69 - 0.0131 - Lou Monte - Dominic the Donkey

70 - 0.0130 - Ed Sheeran - Photograph

 

71 - 0.0128 - Calvin Harris & Disciples - How Deep Is Your Love

72 - 0.0128 - Stevie Wonder & Andra Day - Someday at Christmas

73 - 0.0126 - R. City - Locked Away (feat. Adam Levine)

74 - 0.0126 - Rudimental - Lay It All on Me (feat. Ed Sheeran)

75 - 0.0124 - Elvis Presley - Burning Love

76 - 0.0124 - Michael Bublé - It's Beginning To Look a Lot Like Christmas

77 - 0.0122 - Dean Martin - Let It Snow! Let It Snow! Let It Snow! (Remastered)

78 - 0.0122 - Jason Derulo - Want to Want Me

79 - 0.0122 - Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me

80 - 0.0122 - Martin Solveig - +1 (feat. Sam White) [Radio Edit]

 

81 - 0.0121 - Diplo & Sleepy Tom - Be Right There

82 - 0.0118 - Disturbed - The Sound of Silence

83 - 0.0117 - Chris Brown - Back to Sleep

84 - 0.0116 - Taylor Swift - Bad Blood

85 - 0.0115 - Jack Garratt - Breathe Life

86 - 0.0114 - Bob Dylan - Must Be Santa

87 - 0.0113 - One Direction - Drag Me Down

88 - 0.0112 - Pia Mia - Do It Again (feat. Chris Brown & Tyga)

89 - 0.0112 - Years & Years - Shine

90 - 0.0111 - Ellie Goulding - Love Me Like You Do (From "Fifty Shades Of Grey")

NHS Choir 1.000

Justin Bieber 0.341

 

Another big update for the NHS Choir and push Bieber down over 5%.

 

Combined/Weighted

 

NHS Choir 1.000

Justin Bieber 0.302

 

Gained another ~4% this update on Justin.

It will go down to the wire but at the moment it looks like:

 

Justin 62.7k + 13k (today - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + 13k (tomorrow - 6k downloads and 7k streams) + missing 7k streams unreported in today's mids = 95.7k

NHS Choir 62.1k + 16k + 16k = 94.1k

 

I think your sums are wrong somewhere along the line, gooddelta. They closed the gap by 6,400 yesterday alone, and the differential will be far bigger today given the download data. You seem to be overestimating Justin's streaming by a couple of k for starters. - I had it as around 5k. I think the choir outsold Justin 2:1 yesterday rather than 16:13.

25. All My Friends (feat. Tinashe & Chance The Rapper) - Snakehips

68. Hands To Myself - Selena Gomez

 

:wub:

I think your sums are wrong somewhere along the line, gooddelta. They closed the gap by 6,400 yesterday alone, and the differential will be far bigger today given the download data. You seem to be overestimating Justin's streaming by a couple of k for starters. - I had it as around 5k. I think the choir outsold Justin 2:1 yesterday rather than 16:13.

 

We don't know what streaming is missing though still, and from which days, but you could be right, it's just a guesstimate really.

It's not gonna be close. 10K+ for them at the end. MINIMUM. They are killing it today and still... getting HUGE updates!

Which media outlet is suddenly supporting Kylie and James C? Been steadily moving up last few days.... was 143 on Monday and now top 60?!? has only a lyric video..... was on Hollyoaks a bit today but seems it is getting promo somewhere? Is it advertised anywhere?

Which media outlet is suddenly supporting Kylie and James C? Been steadily moving up last few days.... was 143 on Monday and now top 60?!? has only a lyric video..... was on Hollyoaks a bit today but seems it is getting promo somewhere? Is it advertised anywhere?

Since she's been (for some reason) appearing in Christmas #1 contenders lists before this week, I suppose it's possible the media could have been mentioning it when talking about the race for #1? Plus the fact Christmas songs always increase a lot a couple of days before Christmas (usually 'One More Sleep' and 'Driving Home for Christmas' in particular, for obvious reasons).

We don't know what streaming is missing though still, and from which days, but you could be right, it's just a guesstimate really.

 

I think spotify has been claiming 450-500k streams (which translates to 4,500-5,000 equivalent sales) for Justin daily. Don't have a link for that unfortunately, can't remember where I saw it.

I think spotify has been claiming 450-500k streams (which translates to 4,500-5,000 equivalent sales) for Justin daily. Don't have a link for that unfortunately, can't remember where I saw it.

 

Guessing the other sites are accounting for the other 2,000 stream sales a day on average then because his weekly 'streaming sales' for the last few weeks have passed 50k, so around 35k+ from Spotify and 15k from elsewhere.