Survation latest poll:

 

LAB 29% (+3), CON 23% (-1), BXP 20% (nc), LD 19% (nc), SNP 4% (+1), GRN 3% (-2), OTH 2% (-1)

 

(changes w/ 19th - 20th June 2019)

The first post-Boris opinion poll is out. As expected, a big bump to the Conservatives at the expense of the Brexit Party, although I imagine that the polls will calm down post-summer recess.

 

@1155198201881911296

Another poll has come out that has CON +10 and BXP -10. Really worried that we're going to get an early election that results in a huge Tory majority. But then that's what we thought would happen the last time there was an early election so...

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-72...-Tories-PM.html

 

Boris Johnson gets his bounce: Poll finds 10% rise in support for Tories with him as PM - but delaying an election boosts Labour if party ditches Jeremy Corbyn

 

The surge in support has given the Conservatives a five-point lead over Labour

But if Labour ditched Corbyn, the Tories would trail them by six points

The rise corresponds to a ten-point fall for Nigel Farage's Brexit Party

Some 55 per cent think there will be an Election by the end of the year

The poll came as Mr Johnson's majority could be wiped out by next week

I don't really know how anyone could predict a lead for labour if JC wasn't leader without knowing who the leader would be lol??

I don't really know how anyone could predict a lead for labour if JC wasn't leader without knowing who the leader would be lol??

 

How about on the 'ANYTHING'S better than Corbyn' basis... :rolleyes:

 

I'd certainly be more likely to vote Labour without Corbyn in charge.

How about on the 'ANYTHING'S better than Corbyn' basis... :rolleyes:

 

I'd certainly be more likely to vote Labour without Corbyn in charge.

 

If Corbyn leaves, it could just so easily be someone who is very left who takes the mantle. The problem Corbyn is going to have is Johnson will absolutely nail him in PMQs of that I have doubt.

 

You can't really read a lot in the Polls - Johnson is riding on the optimism and good PR so it's no surprise he's seemingly gaining a lot of the Brexit votes. I think come an General Election right now, the Tories will gain a lot of extra votes, but not extra seats. Let's be honest if the rumours are right they are very soon to be facing a 'No Confidence' motion as it looks like they are going to lose their majority. I do wonder if Cummings and Johnson working together they have devised a strategy to target the millions of people who don't vote and tap in to their emotions. The Tories have little chance of crawling back the swing middle class voters.

I think JC has proven that he can put forward a manifesto for change in 2017, it's about building on that. So the ideology doesn't look to be the issue.

I think JC has proven that he can put forward a manifesto for change in 2017, it's about building on that. So the ideology doesn't look to be the issue.

 

Proposing a manifesto for change is one thing - convincing people to vote for the enormous cost of it, is quite another...

I think JC has proven that he can put forward a manifesto for change in 2017, it's about building on that. So the ideology doesn't look to be the issue.

 

This was 2.5 years ago and in the UK at least it was Labour vs Tories with Lib Dems still recovering from the last election. Suspect a lot of those voters that went Labour will now go to the Lib Dems. So much has changed since then. Problem is we have a hard-left and a hard-right party right now and there are so many liberal/middle ground voters.

 

Then you've got think the Tories will likely lose the Scottish seats to the SNP as well.

Proposing a manifesto for change is one thing - convincing people to vote for the enormous cost of it, is quite another...

If only the Tory leadership contenders had faced questions about how they planned to finance their multi-billion pound plans.

If only the Tory leadership contenders had faced questions about how they planned to finance their multi-billion pound plans.

 

 

That's easy. From all the money we won't pay the robbing EU.

 

 

Go Boris!! Tory landslide at the next election. We have a new dynamic PM and a new energised Cabinet. Who'd want to vote for geriatric commie Corbyn, his ex dimwit Abbott, McDonald and Lady Nugent. Simply no contest at all.

That's easy. From all the money we won't pay the robbing EU.

Go Boris!! Tory landslide at the next election. We have a new dynamic PM and a new energised Cabinet. Who'd want to vote for geriatric commie Corbyn, his ex dimwit Abbott, McDonald and Lady Nugent. Simply no contest at all.

Grow up.

@1155732319271043072

 

Plaid on the march. Brexit is how the United Kingdom ends

@1155732319271043072

 

Plaid on the march. Brexit is how the United Kingdom ends

 

Let's hope it's a lot more democratic than the UK was!

This was 2.5 years ago and in the UK at least it was Labour vs Tories with Lib Dems still recovering from the last election. Suspect a lot of those voters that went Labour will now go to the Lib Dems. So much has changed since then. Problem is we have a hard-left and a hard-right party right now and there are so many liberal/middle ground voters.

 

Then you've got think the Tories will likely lose the Scottish seats to the SNP as well.

 

You call them hard left and right by the standards of 1990-2008 political thought. Perhaps they are now the centre?

BJ's poll bounce is smaller than May's so far, but it has scope to go higher as something like 70-80% of the remaining BXP voters, 15% of likely voters, have a favourable opinion of BJ.

 

The overall Tory + BXP + UKIP total is at a maximum of around 45%, which is smaller than the 55% Tory + UKIP total that May inherited in 2016.

Boris opens up 10 point lead.

 

Source: Daily Mail. YouGov

 

Tories 32%

Labour 22%

Lib Dems 19%

 

Down to rise in male support apparently.

Edited July 31, 20195 yr by Trump2020

Well there will be an electoral test of that lead tomorrow in Wales where he was on Tuesday being 'welcomed' by the locals, in the Brecon and Radnorshire By-election

 

@1156245110843203587

@1156245110843203587

 

It would have been far more surprising if he had been cheered... :rolleyes: