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Both of the previous two year's Christmas #1s were #7 on the final chart of the preceding October...

 

 

In that case Silk City (currently)... I be happy with that :D

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It's way too early to call it still TBH. I'd quite like it to be George Ezra but it really depends how 'Hold My Girl' holds out once it gets promoted to full single status.

Edited by ThePensmith

It's way too early to call it still TBH. I'd quite like it to be George Ezra but it really depends how 'Hold My Girl' holds out once it gets promoted to full single status.

I'm pretty sure I heard it got sent to radio at the end of September- but then he went and did Shotgun on Strictly, lmao

Both of the previous two year's Christmas #1s were #7 on the final chart of the preceding October...

In that case Silk City (currently)... I be happy with that :D

 

Oh right, just realised you're referring to the midweeks because it's the final week of October this week! I was getting concerned that we'd end up with Kanye West & Lil Pump (this week's #7) as Christmas number one :D :D :D

This new acr rule sucks. The charts should be an accurate representation, not some arbitrary random rules coblled together just because.
I'm hoping that Little Mix perform their second single on the X Factor finale and release the music video shortly after to nab the Christmas #1 to make up for Touch not getting it 2 years ago.
When are the Christmas ads premiered, this weekend or next?

I think it's too early to call. I wouldn't be surprised if a big artist returns out of the blue and poses a serious challenge. The way this year's been I wouldn't be surprised if a musical nabbed it.

 

Indeed- and the biggest streams are ALWAYS on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, which count for the chart AFTER the Christmas chart. A fact that has been covered many times on here!

 

 

just out of interest, and because I can, here's where last year's Christmas songs would have charted in the Christmas chart with these new rules in place (the position they officially charted at in brackets):

 

#03 Wham - Last Christmas (#3)

#10 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You (#4)

#16 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale Of New York (#7)

#28 Band Aid - Do They Know It's Christmas (#12)

#31 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone (#15)

#33 Brenda Lee - Rockin' Around the Christmas Tree (#14)

#34 Chris Rea - Driving Home For Christmas (#20)

#35 Elton John - Step Into Christmas (#18)

#37 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday (#23)

#40 Michael Bublé - It's Beginning To Look A Lot Like Christmas (#22)

---

#52 Slade - Merry Xmas Everybody (#29)

#53 Sia - Santa's Coming For Us (#65)

#55 Ariana Grande - Santa Tell Me (#32)

#56 Leona Lewis - One More Sleep (#36)

#65 Paul McCartney - Wonderful Christmastime (#38)

#68 Coldplay - Christmas Lights (#42)

#71 Bing Crosby - White Christmas (#41)

#73 Kelly Clarkson - Underneath the Tree (#47)

#75 Boney M. - Mary's Boy Child/Oh My Lord (#46)

#79 Michael Bublé - Holly Jolly Christmas (#48)

#81 Kylie Minogue - Santa Baby (#49)

#84 Pretenders - 2000 Miles (#85)

#85 Justin Bieber - Mistletoe (#51)

#91 Jona Lewie - Stop the Cavalry (#91)

#97 Mud - Lonely This Christmas (#97)

#100 Gwen Stefani - You Make It Feel Like Christmas (#100)

 

so it looks like we will get at least 10 Christmas songs in the chart this year, possibly more the week following too. ACR isn't exactly killing Christmas, just stopping a few extra songs scraping in.

 

keep in mind there was a campaign to get Wham! to #1, hence they had a lot of paid-for sales last year. also, the Sia/Gwen songs of course would have remained on SCR (and should be on SCR this year and the next too) - and Pretenders/Jona Lewie/Mud never managed to come off ACR in the first place.

 

 

 

When it was announced by the OCC that tracks over 3 years old would be subject to ACR I emailed the OCC and got this reply...

 

 

" The 3 year restriction does not prevent older Christmas tracks entering the top end of the Official Singles Chart, but it does stop seasonal activity flooding the Official Chart. As an example in week 52 last year there were 8 tracks in the Top 10 and 13 in the Top 20. under the new rules there would have been 3 in the Top 10 and 8 in the Top 20.

 

Under the new rules, Wham! would have charted at #3 in the Christmas chart (week 51), which is the same position it achieved under the old rules. In week 52, instead of peaking at #2, it would have been at #5.

 

 

Crazy that George Ezra is the only real known contender at this point, though I don't think anyone's mentioned the next Clean Bandit single yet; and you can always count of them for a long running, #1 challenging hit. I'm all for some new songs dropping in the next month or so and challenging though, Rihanna perhaps?!
Westlife will surely aim for the Christmas number 1? If they were to release a single soon enough they'd surely go for the Christmas number 1
Under the new rules, Wham! would have charted at #3 in the Christmas chart (week 51), which is the same position it achieved under the old rules. In week 52, instead of peaking at #2, it would have been at #5.

Christmas streaming trends are too hard to predict still, but I feel like ACR will provide a more substantial effect in subsequent years, as affected streaming takes up a bigger proportion of their chart points compared to unaffected sales.

I imagine it’ll be a song that will have already been top 10 for at least 6 weeks if the last two years are anything to go by...

New CB is a good call

Imagine if Marina got herself the Xmas #1 :D

I would say if it's marketed properly, it could be Abba. I'm sure it was announced they were releasing two new tracks in December. May not do much on streaming, but could do big things physically .... :)

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