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we predict, we fail... if you never make a prediction, sure you're not gonna fell

 

when I first heard Bad habits my first reaction was 10 weeks at #1

but then on the first couple days the response on streaming ws so muted like no one cared

it was the comeback of the biggest start of the planet and barely started with 500K

(compare it to Drake who started with 1.1 million)

so that's a muted response to say the least and something worrisome for his label I'm sure too

of course the label reaction was immediate and they paid to have the song moved to track #1 in all playlists that exist in Spotify

and then the figures increased obviously, you get what you pay for,...

 

but figures increased but on Spotify, not so much... and he's been #1 ever since but that's thanks to his Amazon songs

which are the opposite of transparent and always fishy to me...

 

 

 

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Spotify Chart Update (09/09)

 

:up: 01 02 The Kid Laroi - Stay (feat. Justin Bieber) 469,883 [*RE PEAK*]

:down: 02 01 Drake - Girls Want Girls (feat. Lil Baby) 455,478

:right: 03 03 Drake - Fair Trade (feat. Travis Scott) 377,484

:right: 04 04 Ed Sheeran - Bad Habits 373,158 [#3 combined] 440,425

:right: 05 05 Drake - Way 2 Sexy (feat. Future & Young Thug) 300,416

:right: 06 06 Olivia Rodrigo - Good 4 U 287,619

:up: 07 08 Lil Nas X - Industry Baby (feat. Jack Harlow) 266,960

:down: 08 07 Drake - Champagne Poetry 264,959

:right: 09 09 Kanye West - Hurricane 247,335

:up: 10 11 Glass Animals - Heat Waves 243,166

 

:up: 11 15 Dave - Clash (feat. Stormzy)

:down: 12 10 Becky Hill & David Guetta - Remember

:down: 13 12 Doja Cat - Woman

:right: 14 14 Joel Corry & Jax Jones - Out Out (feat. Charli XCX & Saweetie)

:down: 15 13 Jonasu - Black Magic

:up: 16 18 Doja Cat - Need To Know

:up: 17 19 Billie Eilish - Happier Than Ever

:down: 18 16 Drake - Love All (feat. Jay-Z)

:up: 19 21 Digga D - Wasted (feat. ArrDee)

:down: 20 17 Drake - In The Bible (feat. Lil Durk & Giveon)

 

:down: 21 20 Drake - Papi's Home

:right: 22 22 Drake - Knife Talk (feat. 21 Savage & Project Pat)

:up: 23 25 Doja Cat - Kiss Me More (feat. SZA)

:down: 24 23 Drake - TSU

:down: 25 24 Rain Radio & DJ Craig Gorman - Talk About

:up: 26 27 Måneskin - Beggin'

:up: 27 32 Sleepy Hallow - 2055

:up: 28 29 Måneskin - I Wanna Be Your Slave

:down: 29 28 Galantis, David Guetta & Little Mix - Heartbreak Anthem

:down: 30 26 Drake - No Friends In The Industry

 

:right: 31 31 KSI - Holiday

:up: 32 34 Elton John & Dua Lipa - Cold Heart (Pnau Remix) [*NEW PEAK*]

:right: 33 33 Kanye West - Off The Grid

:down: 34 30 Drake - N 2 Deep (feat. Future)

:up: 35 36 Lil Nas X - Montero (Call Me By Your Name)

:up: 36 40 Olivia Rodrigo - Traitor

:right: 37 37 Anne-Marie & Little Mix - Kiss My (Uh Oh)

:right: 38 38 Tones and I - Fly Away

:down: 39 35 Drake - Fountains (feat. Tems)

:up: 40 55 Dave - Verdansk

 

:down: 42 41 Kanye West - Jail

:up: 43 44 The Weeknd - Take My Breath

:down: 44 43 Becky Hill - My Heart Goes (La Di Da) (feat. Topic)

:right: 45 45 Mabel - Let Them Know

:up: 46 47 Tion Wayne & ArrDee - Wid It

:up: 47 48 Ed Sheeran - Visiting Hours

:up: 48 50 Clinton Kane - I Guess I'm In Love

:up: 49 52 The Anxiety - Meet Me At Our Spot (feat. Willow & Tyler Cole) [*NEW PEAK*]

:up: 51 54 Justus Bennetts - Bad Day [*NEW PEAK*]

:down: 54 53 PinkPantheress - Just for Me

:down: 56 51 Abba - Don't Shut Me Down

:up: 58 67 Doja Cat - Get Into It (Yuh)

:down: 63 62 Shouse - Love Tonight (David Guetta Remix)

:up: 66 70 PinkPantheress - Pain

:up: 69 73 Blxst & Tyga - Chosen (feat. Ty Dolla $ign)

:down: 70 66 Baby Keem & Kendrick Lamar - Family Ties

:up: 71 86 Dave - In The Fire

:up: 74 76 Arz - Alone with You

:right: 75 75 Sigala & Rita Ora - You for Me

:down: 77 74 WizKid - Essence (feat. Tems) [#36 combined] 140,089

:up: 82 85 Steve Lacy - Dark Red

:down: 83 77 Lizzo - Rumors (feat. Cardi B)

:up: 92 95 Camila Cabello - Don't Go Yet

:up: 93 94 Marshmello & Jonas Brothers - Leave Before You Love Me

:down: 97 89 David Gutta, MistaJam & John Newman - If You Really Love Me (How Will I Know)

:up: 98 102 Olivia Rodrigo - Jealousy, Jealousy

:right: 99 99 KSI & Lil Wayne - Lose

 

:down: 103 101 Clean Bandit & Topic - Drive (feat. Wes Nelson)

:down: 104 98 Little Mix - Love (Sweet Love)

:up: 111 114 Surf Curse - Freaks

:down: 117 109 Charli XCX - Good Ones

:up: 133 134 Dermot Kennedy - Better Days

:down: 140 128 Riton & Raye - I Don't Want You

:down: 157 147 Tai Verdes - A-O-K

:down: 159 139 Corpse - Hot Demon B!tches Near U !!! (feat. Night Lovell)

:down: 162 160 Maisie Peters - Psycho

:up: 183 191 Bru-C & Bou - Streetside [*NEW PEAK*]

:up: 197 RE Tate McRae - That Way

:ne: 199 NE Lana Del Rey - Arcadia [*NEW PEAK*]

:down: 200 181 Dua Lipa - Love Again

 

:down: xx 168 Ewan McVicar - Tell Me Something Good

:down: xx 170 Abba - I Still Have Faith In You

:down: xx 184 Capella Grey - Gyalis

‘Shivers’ at number 8 on Apple Music now ‘only’! At number one on iTunes!
*Takes note of where Ed is on all the Apple playlists on day 1 to argue against Bjork*
Shiver's somewhat slower assent is possibly partly because a lot of people thought Visiting Hours was a single a couple of weeks ago which rose a bit faster and probably took a bit of the initial away, which is why this might take a few extra days to catch on.
Shivers sounds huge, very commercial. Have no doubt it will do very well. Will see what tactics Ed and his label bring out to get the number one by a comfortable margin.
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Verdansk climbing 55-40 is a surprise!

Dave's whole album seems to have had a big boost, I'm not sure why. 4 of his ATs have returned to the top 200 as well as his currently charting tracks climbing.

Dave announced some concert dates for next year on Thursday I believe

Apple Music New Releases:

 

#8 Ed Sheeran - Shivers

#24 Central Cee - Obsessed With You

#42 Mimi Webb - 24/5

#97 Justus Bennetts - Bad Day

#142 K-Trap - Free C Roy

#180 Chlöe - Have Mercy

#191 - Glass Animals - I Don’t Wanna Talk (I Just Wanna Dance)

  • Author
Trust the British public to make this Central Cee mangling of Just For Me end up being a bigger hit than the original then I guess.

Shivers hasn't set the platforms on fire.. the Youtube views are not anything special and #8 on AM isn't spectacular. Maybe he should've waited a few weeks?

 

It's not gonna be the new Take My Breath though, but there are similarities in terms of the online response

It's a shame because Shivers is probably the best/most interesting thing he's released since 'Shape Of You'.

Will be interesting to see the initial Spotify numbers.

 

Whilst I do think some are quick to label something a flop these days, it does seem to have taken a while to get to Number on I-tunes and is still not even top 5 on Apple.

 

No doubt by the end of the week he'll be well in front of the rest of the competition.

 

However IF (and its only an IF) he isn't... what would be the number 1 contender, given Drake has dropped away, LAROI and Bad Habits will be on ACR - would be a random climb for a song :D OUT OUT or Rmemeber for Number 1

Edited by ElectroBoy

In terms of ACR it seems more likely that LAROI might have dodged it, but I think 'Remember' is a dead cert to have succumbed. :(

 

Ah, I couldn't remember the status of Remember and how many weeks it had already declined

Edited by ElectroBoy

If Shivers doesn’t make the grade it will be Stay #1 if it hasn’t succumbed and failing that Girls Want Girls. If Drake suddenly fell off a cliff it would likely be Bad Habits on ACR before anything else!
Hope 'Heat Waves' can make official top 5 next Friday
Why is Ed Sheeran's = album at #3 on Apple Music when it hasn't been released yet?
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