6 minutes ago, DanielCarey said:

Might reach 1.3 million by the end of the year!

Yeah but can it catch messy thats the question

I'd expect all the current top 4 to exceed 1.3 million, and the current 5-8 to exceed 1.1 million, so I'm thinking #5 is the most likely finish for 'Golden', but all depends on how well its numbers hold up.

Here’s another attempt at estimating a rolling chart for the 12 months ending Q3.

Again, any help with more accurate figures is always welcome. I know you’ve very kindly helped me with the previous ones @gasman449, so if you’ve got the time or inclination to have a look at my numbers again I would be very grateful!😌

1 Alex Warren - Ordinary 1.709m

2 Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club 1.550m

3 Rose & Bruno Mars - APT. 1.530m

4 Gracie Abrams - That’s So True 1.460m

5 Lola Young - Messy 1.440m

6 Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile 1.430m

7 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 1.278m

8 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather 1.250m

9 Gigi Perez - Sailor Song 1.250m

10 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe! 1.236m

11 Sabrina Carpenter - Taste 1.220m

12 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso 1.118m

13 Teddy Swims - Lose Control 1.080m

14 Chrystal - The Days 1.030m

15 Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams 0.960m

16 Myles Smith - Stargazing 0.959m

17 Teddy Swims - The Door 0.958m

18 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) 0.947m

19 Ravyn Lenae - Love Me Not 0.910m

20 Hozier - Too Sweet 0.883m

21 Sabrina Carpenter - Bad Chem 0.880m

22 Noah Kahan - Stick Season 0.870m

23 Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D. - Somedays 0.870m

24 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please 0.845m

25 Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I’m Sorry 0.830m

26 Billie Eilish - Wildflower 0.830m

27 Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You 0.790m

28 Chappell Roan - Hot To Go 0.787m

29 Alex Warren - Carry You Home 0.780m

30 Goo Goo Dolls - Iris 0.740m

31 Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin ft BbyClose - Kisses 0.735m

32 The Killers - Mr Brightside 0.720m

33 Post Malone ft Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help 0.704m

34 Dasha - Austin 0.702m

35 Tate McRae - Sports Car 0.679m

36 The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless 0.670m

37 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us 0.656m

38 Sombr - Undressed 0.650m

39 WizTheMc & Bees & Honey - Show Me Love 0.644m

40 Sombr - Back To Friends 0.635m

Some things I’ve noticed:-

Alex is now miles ahead as expected and I presume will only go further ahead by the end of 2025?

Below that it is close, though I suspect I might have overestimated Pink Pony Club’s total again due to being unsure of its earliest sales figures.

Overall the chart maybe feels a little fresher than the last one? The Demon Hunters soundtrack should change things up even more very soon.

Any thoughts?

I'd have expected 'APT.' ahead of 'Pink Pony Club', as it's still ahead for 2025 to date and all its weeks in the Top 5 before Christmas would have more than made up for it having no sales until midway through October?

15 minutes ago, Jaz13music said:

Here’s another attempt at estimating a rolling chart for the 12 months ending Q3.

Again, any help with more accurate figures is always welcome. I know you’ve very kindly helped me with the previous ones @gasman449, so if you’ve got the time or inclination to have a look at my numbers again I would be very grateful!😌

1 Alex Warren - Ordinary 1.709m

2 Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club 1.550m

3 Rose & Bruno Mars - APT. 1.530m

4 Gracie Abrams - That’s So True 1.460m

5 Lola Young - Messy 1.440m

6 Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile 1.430m

7 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things 1.278m

8 Billie Eilish - Birds Of A Feather 1.250m

9 Gigi Perez - Sailor Song 1.250m

10 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe! 1.236m

11 Sabrina Carpenter - Taste 1.220m

12 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso 1.118m

13 Teddy Swims - Lose Control 1.080m

14 Chrystal - The Days 1.030m

15 Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams 0.960m

16 Myles Smith - Stargazing 0.959m

17 Teddy Swims - The Door 0.958m

18 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy) 0.947m

19 Ravyn Lenae - Love Me Not 0.910m

20 Hozier - Too Sweet 0.883m

21 Sabrina Carpenter - Bad Chem 0.880m

22 Noah Kahan - Stick Season 0.870m

23 Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D. - Somedays 0.870m

24 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please 0.845m

25 Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I’m Sorry 0.830m

26 Billie Eilish - Wildflower 0.830m

27 Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You 0.790m

28 Chappell Roan - Hot To Go 0.787m

29 Alex Warren - Carry You Home 0.780m

30 Goo Goo Dolls - Iris 0.740m

31 Bl3ss & CamrinWatsin ft BbyClose - Kisses 0.735m

32 The Killers - Mr Brightside 0.720m

33 Post Malone ft Morgan Wallen - I Had Some Help 0.704m

34 Dasha - Austin 0.702m

35 Tate McRae - Sports Car 0.679m

36 The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless 0.670m

37 Kendrick Lamar - Not Like Us 0.656m

38 Sombr - Undressed 0.650m

39 WizTheMc & Bees & Honey - Show Me Love 0.644m

40 Sombr - Back To Friends 0.635m

Some things I’ve noticed:-

Alex is now miles ahead as expected and I presume will only go further ahead by the end of 2025?

Below that it is close, though I suspect I might have overestimated Pink Pony Club’s total again due to being unsure of its earliest sales figures.

Overall the chart maybe feels a little fresher than the last one? The Demon Hunters soundtrack should change things up even more very soon.

Any thoughts?

Not too far off with my own! Another great effort Jaz 👍

1 Ordinary 1.710m

2 APT 1.535m

3 That's So True 1.465m

4 Pink Pony Club 1.390m

5 Die With A Smile 1.380m

6 Beautiful Things 1.280m

7 Birds Of A Feather 1.255m

8 Good Luck Babe 1.230m

9 Messy 1.230m

10 Taste 1.210m

11 Sailor Song 1.190m

12 Espresso 1.120m

13 Lose Control 1.085m

14 The Days 1.010m

15 Stargazing 960k

16 Bad Dreams 920k

17 A Bar Song 920k

18 Love Me Not 915k

19 The Door 910k

20 Too Sweet 860k
21 Somedays 845k

22 Stick Season 840k

23 Please Please Please 840k

24 Nice To Meet You 790k

25 Hot To Go 785k

26 I Love You I'm Sorry 785k

27 Bed Chem 760k

28 Carry You Home 750k

29 Iris 745k

30 Kisses 735k

31 Mr Brightside 725k

32 I Had Some Help 705k

33 Austin 705k

34 Wildflower 685k

35 Sports Car 680k

36 Timeless 670k

37 Undressed 650k 

38 Not Like Us 650k

39 Show Me Love 645k

40 Back To Friends 635k

Edited October 1Oct 1 by gasman449

26 minutes ago, jimwatts said:

I'd have expected 'APT.' ahead of 'Pink Pony Club', as it's still ahead for 2025 to date and all its weeks in the Top 5 before Christmas would have more than made up for it having no sales until midway through October?

Yes you’re right of course, as I mentioned in the commentary above, PPC is the one I keep overestimating! I’ve never been sure of its ‘trickle’ sales pre 24 and early 24 to be able to remove them from its total… if that makes any sense!🤷‍♂️

23 minutes ago, gasman449 said:

Not too far off with my own! Another great effort Jaz 👍

1 Ordinary 1.710m

2 APT 1.535m

3 That's So True 1.465m

4 Pink Pony Club 1.390m

5 Die With A Smile 1.380m

6 Beautiful Things 1.280m

7 Birds Of A Feather 1.255m

8 Good Luck Babe 1.230m

9 Messy 1.230m

10 Taste 1.210m

11 Sailor Song 1.190m

12 Espresso 1.120m

13 Lose Control 1.085m

14 The Days 1.010m

15 Stargazing 960k

16 Bad Dreams 920k

17 A Bar Song 920k

18 Love Me Not 915k

19 The Door 910k

20 Too Sweet 860k
21 Somedays 845k

22 Stick Season 840k

23 Please Please Please 840k

24 Nice To Meet You 790k

25 Hot To Go 785k

26 I Love You I'm Sorry 785k

27 Bed Chem 760k

28 Carry You Home 750k

29 Iris 745k

30 Kisses 735k

31 Mr Brightside 725k

32 I Had Some Help 705k

33 Austin 705k

34 Wildflower 685k

35 Sports Car 680k

36 Timeless 670k

37 Undressed 650k 

38 Not Like Us 650k

39 Show Me Love 645k

40 Back To Friends 635k

Brilliant work, thanks very much again!

Official Charts

The Official biggest songs of 2025 so far

Alex Warren continues to be the frontrunner for the UK’s biggest song of 2025 so far with Ordinary, the Official Charts Company can confirm.

Posted an official top 40 list if anyone's interested see how accurate you are (no sales unfortunately)

Lmao at the OCC reporting Tyga's 'Taste' at #15 instead of Sabrina and Travis Scott's 'Stargazing' instead of Myles Smith at #20 💀

11 minutes ago, Jade said:

Lmao at the OCC reporting Tyga's 'Taste' at #15 instead of Sabrina and Travis Scott's 'Stargazing' instead of Myles Smith at #20 💀

2018 hip hop revival in full swing this year!

6 hours ago, Jade said:

Lmao at the OCC reporting Tyga's 'Taste' at #15 instead of Sabrina and Travis Scott's 'Stargazing' instead of Myles Smith at #20 💀

If I had a penny for every 2025 hit that shared a titular of a 2018 hip-hop track by a rapper whom is a generally awful person, names begins with the letter t and was romantically involved with Kylie Jenner.

I would have two pennies, which isn’t a lot but it’s odd that it happened twice.

Should have Man I Need, Daisies and Another Love in this week with Juno, Greedy and Everybody Wants To Rule The World out. Yet again Feel Good Inc may enter instead of Daisies (and my estimate for Victory Lap is the same as Daisies currently but I trust Julian's judgement more than my own 😁)

"Golden" has surpassed 700k units this week. Should be top 20 now.

@777666jason

1 minute ago, DanielCarey said:

"Golden" has surpassed 700k units this week. Should be top 20 now.

@777666jason

Soda pop past 400k looking to fly up next few weeks too , hopefully how its done is in soon 🤣🤣

Just now, 777666jason said:

Soda pop past 400k looking to fly up next few weeks too , hopefully how its done is in soon 🤣🤣

We also got a new certification from KDH this week. Check the Silver certs:

Its a shame its on the compilation chart be interesting to see how it finishes the year overall in terms of albums

On 03/10/2025 at 19:55, gasman449 said:

my estimate for Victory Lap is the same as Daisies currently but I trust Julian's judgement more than my own 😁)

Actually I haven’t allowed for the first couple of days for “Victory Lap” before its first proper week. I have 339k without that so with it we might be similar.

I could still see both that and “Daisies” just missing this time.

Week 40:

1	1	Alex Warren	Ordinary	1,751,000
2	2	Lola Young	Messy	1,279,000	1,460,000
3	3	Rosé and Bruno Mars	APT.	1,194,000	1,540,000
4	4	Chappell Roan	Pink Pony Club	1,182,000	1,630,000
5	5	Gracie Abrams	That's So True	1,037,000	1,470,000
6	6	Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars	Die With A Smile	967,000	1,600,000
7	7	Benson Boone	Beautiful Things	951,000	2,740,000
8	8	Ravyn Lenae	Love Me Not	927,000	940,000
9	9	Chrystal	The Days	881,000	1,050,000
10	10	Billie Eilish	Birds Of A Feather	865,000	2,080,000
11	11	Chappell Roan	Good Luck, Babe!	848,000	2,050,000
12	12	Teddy Swims	Lose Control	796,000	2,630,000
13	13	Sabrina Carpenter	Espresso	753,000	2,500,000
14	14	Gigi Perez	Sailor Song	743,000	1,340,000
15	15	Sabrina Carpenter	Taste	733,000	1,530,000
16	16	Teddy Swims	Bad Dreams	727,000	970,000
17	17	Teddy Swims	The Door	701,000	1,370,000
18	25	Huntr/x, Ejae, Audrey Nuna, Rei Ami & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	Golden	701,000
19	18	Myles Smith	Nice To Meet You	694,000	800,000
20	19	Tate McRae	Sports Car	691,000
21	20	Myles Smith	Stargazing	677,000	1,690,000
22	21	Sombr	Undressed	671,000
23	24	Sombr	Back To Friends	661,000
24	22	Shaboozey	A Bar Song (Tipsy)	658,000	1,990,000
25	23	WizTheMc & Bees & Honey	Show Me Love	653,000
26	26	Hozier	Too Sweet	628,000	2,080,000
27	27	Alex Warren	Carry You Home	622,000	920,000
28	28	Noah Kahan	Stick Season	604,000	3,120,000
29	30	Sabrina Carpenter	Manchild	598,000
30	29	Ed Sheeran	Azizam	585,000
31	32	The Killers	Mr Brightside	569,000	6,630,000
32	33	Goo Goo Dolls	Iris	568,000	4,380,000
33	31	Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D.	Somedays	568,000	1,040,000
34	34	Fleetwood Mac	Dreams	555,000	3,780,000
35	36	Sabrina Carpenter	Please Please Please	546,000	1,690,000
36	35	Kendrick Lamar	Not Like Us	545,000	1,160,000
37	37	Lady Gaga	Abracadabra	529,000
38	39	MK featuring Chrystal	Dior	522,000
39	38	Sabrina Carpenter	Busy Woman	518,000
40	40	Calvin Harris And Clementine Douglas	Blessings	517,000
55	59	Olivia Dean	Nice To Each Other	449,000
59	62	Disco Lines & Tinashe	No Broke Boys	438,000
65	70	Sam Fender & Olivia Dean	Rein Me In	409,000
69	71	Ed Sheeran	Sapphire	405,000
70	87	Saja Boys, Andrew Choi Neckwav, Danny Chung, Kevin Woo, samUIL Lee & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	Soda Pop	403,000
72	-	Olivia Dean	Man I Need	401,000
86	94	Saja Boys, Andrew Choi Neckwav, Danny Chung, Kevin Woo, samUIL Lee & KPop Demon Hunters Cast	Your Idol	378,000
98	-	Justin Bieber	Daisies	346,000
-	100	Tate McRae	Greedy	343,000	1,610,000
-	98	Sabrina Carpenter	Juno	342,000	580,000

 

TFF just clinging on then! Should finally get Victory Lap in next week with Dirty Cash dropping out for sure.

No New Peak for Mystical Magical? Would have had it climbing above Family Matters and Revolving door to #60 this week.

Edited Tuesday at 19:253 days by Maestro

Golden hit a stumbling block now it be a slow climb the rest of the way