1. That’s so true - 514,683

2. Messy - 487,981

3. DWAS - 394,111

4. Sailor Song - 391,371

5. Apt - 388,008

6. BOAF - 323,481

7. Good Luck, Babe - 304,678

8. NOTION REMIX - 270,047

9. Taste - 245,711

10. GDP central cee - 230,500

 

GDP should have secured top 10 guaranteed and Messy yes 100k a now above Apt hopefully not too late

Fingers crossed it is too late for messy this week

Messy will probably lose out from today’s data being estimated

Edited January 23Jan 23 by Maestro

I don't understand why the OCC can't roll Thursday's streams over to next weeks charts rather than estimating them.

I don't understand why the OCC can't roll Thursday's streams over to next weeks charts rather than estimating them.

 

Would harm new releases on Friday as they would have one less day of sales. I don't get why they don't wait until the weekend to publish the charts, especially since Radio 1 likely want a Sunday charts show again to compete with Big Top 40.

Would harm new releases on Friday as they would have one less day of sales. I don't get why they don't wait until the weekend to publish the charts, especially since Radio 1 likely want a Sunday charts show again to compete with Big Top 40.

I don't see why they'd be that bothered - the chart as it is gets better ratings than the Big Top 40, the last I heard!

Messy will probably lose out from today’s data being estimated

 

I may be getting this entirely wrong, but wouldn't it work in Messy's favour if it's shown a more positive trajectory over the last few days?

That’s a fair point, I’m not sure whether trajectory is included in the algorithm (in which case Messy could benefit) or if it’s just an average of the rest of the week in which case it would lose out.

 

It’s impossible to know really without knowing what the algorithm is, but even if it’s based on trajectory it’s not guaranteed to benefit Messy compared to actual streams so it’s still more likely it loses out overall imo.

Bed chem sold 1400 vinyl’s and Apt was one place below on the physical chart and someone said they were sent out Wednesday? So wouldn’t have counted by last Wednesdays update but would have in final sales. So if we estimate 1000 then Messy gained 1200 last week between Wednesday update and final sales. The week before it gained 1400. This week needs 1.1k and is stronger than both those two weeks. So technically the estimate should be bigger than the last two weeks but it’s all guesswork

That’s a fair point, I’m not sure whether trajectory is included in the algorithm (in which case Messy could benefit) or if it’s just an average of the rest of the week in which case it would lose out.

 

It's been confirmed that it's not an average of the week, it's all about "trends through the week". Guessing Messy will benefit if it's been consistently been increasing

Spotify Chart Update (22/01)

 

01 01 Gracie Abrams – That’s So True 514,683

02 02 Lola Young – Messy 487,981

03 03 Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars – Die With A Smile 394,111

04 04 Gigi Perez – Sailor Song 391,371

05 05 ROSÉ, Bruno Mars – APT. 388,008

06 06 Billie Eilish – BIRDS OF A FEATHER 323,481

07 07 Chappell Roan – Good Luck, Babe! 304,678

08 08 Chrystal, NOTION – The Days - NOTION Remix 270,047

09 09 Sabrina Carpenter – Taste 245,711

10 14 Central Cee, 21 Savage – GBP (feat. 21 Savage) 230,500

 

11 11 Sabrina Carpenter – Espresso 228,809

12 10 The Weeknd, Playboi Carti – Timeless (with Playboi Carti) 225,999

13 13 Gracie Abrams – I Love You, I'm Sorry 218,360

14 12 Hozier – Too Sweet 214,705

15 15 Teddy Swims – Lose Control 213,010

16 16 Noah Kahan – Stick Season 203,778

17 17 Billie Eilish – WILDFLOWER 182,077

18 19 Shaboozey – A Bar Song (Tipsy) 178,497

19 18 The Killers – Mr. Brightside 174,653

20 22 Sonny Fodera, Jazzy, D.O.D – Somedays 169,593 [*PEAK*]

 

21 20 Myles Smith – Stargazing 168,030

22 21 BL3SS, CamrinWatsin, bbyclose – Kisses (feat. bbyclose) 166,522

23 23 Sabrina Carpenter – Please Please Please 162,979

24 24 Sabrina Carpenter – Bed Chem 160,616

25 25 Chappell Roan – HOT TO GO! 160,540

26 29 Myles Smith – Nice To Meet You 158,928 [*PEAK*]

27 33 Tyler, The Creator, Lola Young – Like Him (feat. Lola Young) 158,848

28 27 Benson Boone – Beautiful Things 158,813

29 26 Teddy Swims – The Door 158,406

30 35 Teddy Swims – Bad Dreams 158,336

 

31 34 Doechii – DENIAL IS A RIVER 156,682

32 31 Kendrick Lamar, SZA – luther (with sza) 153,887

33 32 Hozier – Do I Wanna Know? - Live At the BBC 150,511

34 39 Chappell Roan – Pink Pony Club 148,853

35 30 Coldplay – Yellow 147,584

36 28 Bad Bunny – DtMF 146,678

37 40 Dream Supplier, Baby Sleeps, Background White Noise – Clean Baby Sleep White Noise (Loopable) 145,004

38 41 Benson Boone – Slow It Down 144,778

39 43 Post Malone, Morgan Wallen – I Had Some Help (Feat. Morgan Wallen) 144,712

40 38 Tyla – PUSH 2 START 143,976

 

41 37 Imogen Heap – Headlock 143,213

42 42 SZA – BMF 141,413

45 45 Alex Warren – Carry You Home 138,931

48 47 PAWSA, The Adventures Of Stevie V – Dirty Cash (Money Talks) 134,472

50 50 Kendrick Lamar, Lefty Gunplay – tv off (feat. lefty gunplay) 124,053

53 60 The Kid LAROI – NIGHTS LIKE THIS 121,637

55 52 Sam Barber, Avery Anna – Indigo (feat. Avery Anna) 119,190

56 55 Sam Fender – People Watching 119,131

58 51 Naughty Boy, Sam Smith – La La La 117,567

67 58 Cynthia Erivo, Ariana Grande – Defying Gravity 110,138

73 74 Don Toliver – No Pole 107,715

79 77 The Marías – No One Noticed 104,104

98 104 Tyler, The Creator, GloRilla, Sexyy Red, Lil Wayne – Sticky (feat. GloRilla, Sexyy Red & Lil Wayne) 96,299

 

103 112 beabadoobee – Real Man 93,647

117 93 Gunna – on one tonight 91,206

127 126 beabadoobee – the perfect pair 89,278

139 150 Fontaines D.C. – Favourite 86,010

142 159 Fontaines D.C. – Bug 85,626

158 133 Bad Bunny – NUEVAYoL 82,682

161 178 Conan Gray – The Cut That Always Bleeds 82,233

181 170 SZA, Kendrick Lamar – 30 For 30 (with Kendrick Lamar) 80,324

Apple Music Chart Update (23/01)

 

01 01 Lola Young - Messy

02 02 Gracie Abrams - That’s So True

03 03 ROSÉ & Bruno Mars - APT.

04 04 Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars - Die With A Smile

05 05 Billie Eilish - BIRDS OF A FEATHER

06 06 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)

07 08 Sonny Fodera, Jazzy & D.O.D - Somedays

08 09 Sabrina Carpenter - Taste

09 07 Gigi Perez - Sailor Song

10 10 Myles Smith - Nice To Meet You

 

11 13 Teddy Swims - Lose Control

12 11 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things

13 17 Teddy Swims - Bad Dreams

14 14 CHRYSTAL & NOTION - The Days (NOTION Remix)

15 15 Myles Smith - Stargazing

16 12 Central Cee & 21 Savage - GBP

17 16 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso

18 20 Post Malone - I Had Some Help (feat. Morgan Wallen)

19 19 PAWSA & The Adventures of Stevie V - Dirty Cash (Money Talks)

20 18 Chappell Roan - Good Luck, Babe!

 

21 21 Sabrina Carpenter - Bed Chem

22 22 The Weeknd & Playboi Carti - Timeless

23 23 Teddy Swims - The Door

24 25 Hozier - Too Sweet

25 24 Noah Kahan - Stick Season

26 26 Sabrina Carpenter - Please Please Please

27 27 Gracie Abrams - I Love You, I'm Sorry

28 29 Tyla - PUSH 2 START

29 31 Dasha - Austin (Boots Stop Workin')

30 32 Kendrick Lamar & SZA - luther

 

31 28 Cynthia Erivo - Defying Gravity (feat. Ariana Grande)

32 30 Billie Eilish - WILDFLOWER

33 33 The Killers - Mr. Brightside

34 34 Chase & Status & Stormzy - BACKBONE

35 35 Benson Boone - Slow It Down

36 36 Chappell Roan - Pink Pony Club

37 38 SZA - 30 For 30 (with Kendrick Lamar)

38 37 Coldplay - Viva La Vida

39 39 SZA - BMF

40 41 The Goo Goo Dolls - Iris

 

42 42 The Weeknd - Dancing In The Flames

46 44 Sam Barber - Indigo (feat. Avery Anna)

50 52 Doechii - DENIAL IS A RIVER

54 45 Ariana Grande & Cynthia Erivo - What Is This Feeling?

55 59 Sam Fender - People Watching (Edit)

56 55 Bad Bunny - DtMF

57 60 Hozier - Do I Wanna Know? (Live at the BBC)

63 67 Sub Focus & Katy B - Push The Tempo

66 66 Sam Fender - People Watching

70 53 Ariana Grande - Popular

72 69 Alex Warren - Carry You Home

73 76 Morgan Wallen - Love Somebody

74 72 Kendrick Lamar - tv off (feat. Lefty Gunplay)

89 97 Teddy Swims & GIVĒON - Are You Even Real

93 95 Ella Henderson - Filthy Rich

96 94 Jazzy & KILIMANJARO - No Bad Vibes

99 91 Tyler, The Creator - Like Him (feat. Lola Young)

 

102 87 Sam Smith & Naughty Boy - La La La

119 107 Imogen Heap - Headlock

154 150 Aitch & Bou - Raving In The Studio

164 169 Alex Warren - Burning Down

176 194 Fontaines D.C. - Bug

197 134 Disney, Braelyn Rankins, Theo Somolu, Aaron Pierre & Kelvin Harrison Jr. - I Always Wanted A Brother

'Limitless' seems to be the Central Cee song pushed from the album release tomorrow, so we may be spared of him & Dave going to #1.

 

The Dave collab ('CRG') is #1 on NMF UK. 'Limitless' is on there too but only track 16 (he also has a third song at track 33, the collab with Lil Durk).

 

Not sure why they didn't put 'CRG' on the Aus/NZ NMF, 'Sprinter' was a big hit there!

 

edit: also just checked and 'CRG' was instantly added as song 5 on Hot Hits UK as well. I won't say it's a surefire #1 but I think it has a decent chance.

The Dave collab ('CRG') is #1 on NMF UK. 'Limitless' is on there too but only track 16 (he also has a third song at track 33, the collab with Lil Durk).

 

Not sure why they didn't put 'CRG' on the Aus/NZ NMF, 'Sprinter' was a big hit there!

 

edit: also just checked and 'CRG' was instantly added as song 5 on Hot Hits UK as well. I won't say it's a surefire #1 but I think it has a decent chance.

 

The playlisting is very very, very good indeed... and also the song sound massive I must say, and the sales are low these days, so I would say yes.

Tyla "PUSH 2 START" moved up to #8 on HHUK *_*

 

Also FKA Twigs on NMF with "Childlike Things". It features Kim Kardashian's daughter North West. Wouldn't be surprised if the song managed to chart if it's good! Although was not expecting that :lol:

 

Bruno & Sexyy Red releasing a music video with Lady Gaga & Rosé and the song sounds catchy.

 

Might see 2 new entries top 10 with Central Cee & Bruno.

I don't understand why the OCC can't roll Thursday's streams over to next weeks charts rather than estimating them.

I think they should make the streaming tracking week Thurs-Wed, too. New releases won't be hindered too much I don't think. Especially the big new releases. Keep everything else Friday-Thursday but streaming data should be Thurs-Wed, imo.