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01 | Persephonia • Maustetytöt • Tee Se Itse

02 | Ajanaeda • Nuovo Testamento • Dream On

03 | Bøtanikkä • Tanzer • Maximum Glamour

04 | Herbilore • Julia Fox • Down The Drain

05 | New Lexico • Yorke • airplane mode

06 | Danæviia • Levi.Sct • Technotude

07 | Zanmatony • Dan Deacon • Feel The Lightning

08 | Aelandor • PRXZM • Where We Started

09 | Pestolia • ivri • tower of memories

10 | Summericia • Avery Cochrane • Shapeshifting On A Saturday Night

11 | Utopia • Water From Your Eyes • Playing Classics

12 | Aeroche • sim0ne • space cadet

13 | Mothertopia • Samia • Lizard

14 | Baleghde • OCT • Half Horse Half Man

15 | Yehesi • BRUSES • ANTES de MORIRME X.x (feat. Amandititita)

16 | République d'Áskorza • Astrid S • First To Go

17 | Altyr Muunilinst • Krewella • Crying On The Dancefloor

18 | East Rukahavian • coastal club • conversation

19 | FARC • Sycco • Dribble

20 | Cumulonimbia • Deki Alem • House Fire

21 | Trifoski • acloudyskye • Shoots

22 | Hushkanukia • Kirsty Grant • Outerbody

23 | Neliönoir • Night Tapes • storm

24 | Suedeonia • Ducks Ltd. • Train Full Of Gasoline

25 | Lotunia • Luca Vasta • Santa Maria

26 | FSR Rontvia • ARGO • Korku

Not sure how to call semi 2 at all — I want to be wrong about Utopia, especially (love!)

I wouldn't be surprised if the entire top five, along with Fljótavík, came from this semi. Ajanaeda, Fljótavík, Aeorche top three with Altyr Muunilinst, Summericia, and Bøtanikkä not far behind. I could see FSR Rontvia mopping up all the big alt bloc votes too

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  • diva thin muffin
    diva thin muffin

    I made a code that takes into account voting patterns in the past dozen contests and how likely each country is to vote for each of the finalists (taking into consideration multiple factors, but none

  • blacksquare
    blacksquare

    Nicolás Jaar when he qualifies, wins, and then marries @blacksquare 🖤

  • I should’ve known I merely needed to post a picture of his face to qualify x

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With yourself up there in the mix too again in the top five in the final!

I agree otherwise with all your predictions for the top five contenders, and that Semi 2 is much more contender heavy than Semi 1. That said, Hendinia, Kathaldazia, Kluminican Republic and Cor Lupus should all be there or thereabouts. Maybe even Elëdan if it can get out of the semi (which I hope it does).

8 hours ago, blacksquare said:

01 | Persephonia • Maustetytöt • Tee Se Itse

02 | Ajanaeda • Nuovo Testamento • Dream On

03 | Bøtanikkä • Tanzer • Maximum Glamour

04 | Herbilore • Julia Fox • Down The Drain

05 | New Lexico • Yorke • airplane mode

06 | Danæviia • Levi.Sct • Technotude

07 | Zanmatony • Dan Deacon • Feel The Lightning

08 | Aelandor • PRXZM • Where We Started

09 | Pestolia • ivri • tower of memories

10 | Summericia • Avery Cochrane • Shapeshifting On A Saturday Night

11 | Utopia • Water From Your Eyes • Playing Classics

12 | Aeroche • sim0ne • space cadet

13 | Mothertopia • Samia • Lizard

14 | Baleghde • OCT • Half Horse Half Man

15 | Yehesi • BRUSES • ANTES de MORIRME X.x (feat. Amandititita)

16 | République d'Áskorza • Astrid S • First To Go

17 | Altyr Muunilinst • Krewella • Crying On The Dancefloor

18 | East Rukahavian • coastal club • conversation

19 | FARC • Sycco • Dribble

20 | Cumulonimbia • Deki Alem • House Fire

21 | Trifoski • acloudyskye • Shoots

22 | Hushkanukia • Kirsty Grant • Outerbody

23 | Neliönoir • Night Tapes • storm

24 | Suedeonia • Ducks Ltd. • Train Full Of Gasoline

25 | Lotunia • Luca Vasta • Santa Maria

26 | FSR Rontvia • ARGO • Korku

Not sure how to call semi 2 at all — I want to be wrong about Utopia, especially (love!)

I wouldn't be surprised if the entire top five, along with Fljótavík, came from this semi. Ajanaeda, Fljótavík, Aeorche top three with Altyr Muunilinst, Summericia, and Bøtanikkä not far behind. I could see FSR Rontvia mopping up all the big alt bloc votes too


I changed my mind and think Utopia is definitely making it, although I don't know what it's replacing. I actually could see Lotunia and Persephonia qualifying, too

I give up

bratcheeseblock

Just now, blacksquare said:


I changed my mind and think Utopia is definitely making it, although I don't know what it's replacing. I actually could see Lotunia and Persephonia qualifying, too

I give up

bratcheeseblock

How are Zanmatony's chances looking this month?

Just now, awardinary said:

How are Zanmatony's chances looking this month?


'Feel the Lightning' is class 🖤

(Only @gooddelta can predict these things with pinpoint accuracy, though)

I would say a return to Dan Deacon’s spiritual home of 11-20 is very feasible.

01 | Flynnonda • Borderline • When It's Raining

02 | Greenfroze • Ken Hirai • 1995

03 | Bronzil • Fazerdaze • Motorway

04 | Macromia • Marika Hackman • Drown

05 | Jupiterdonia • RØRY • WOLVES

06 | Cheiron • Daisy Grenade • Don't Sweat It

07 | Kathaldazia • MERCY • POSSESSION

08 | Scotland 2 • Dijon • Yamaha

09 | POPHub • Magdalene • Lucky Girl

10 | Dobago • NXCRE & The Villains • USURPER

11 | A-Konohagakure • Phuture Noize • Hyperspace

12 | Sandénia • LØLØ • omg

13 | Skall • Bubble Love • Double Caper

14 | Land of DW • Lord Of The Lost & Within Temptation • Light Can Only Shine In The Darkness

15 | Terra Avium • Future Utopia & Lava La Rue • The Pleasure Trap

16 | Thelonia • Your Mate's Ex • Disco Shift

17 | Taahino • Ashnikko • Trinkets

18 | Hendinia • Frost Children • WHAT IS FOREVER FOR

19 | Jadakissnia • S1RENA • DNA 1NTERLUDE / DNA

20 | Séyetana • Ecca Vandal • CRUISING TO SELF SOOTHE

21 | Cor Lupus • Tsatsamis • Sweet Praise

22 | Why So Sirius • Yu • Geld

23 | Elëdan • Nicolás Jaar • Aquí

24 | Lookylion • Goddess • Sexual

25 | Kluminican Republic • Swank Mami • Baddiez

26 | Aesthetica • Jae Stephens • Afterbody

I'm usually way off the mark but just for funsies x

I've put them in green but i could see the vote being split between LØLØ, Daisy Grenade and RØRY just because they're kinda in the same realm. I think they're all strong qualifiers in any other contest if they weren't competing against each other but this is the most rock/pop-punk semi I've ever experienced so idk if people will try to vary their votes more or still genre bloc vote (for lack of a better phrase?) The same could happen for Ecca Vandal, Lord of The Lost & Within Temptation and NXCRE & The Villains but I think they're probably safer than the other group of rockier songs. We'll see I suppose 😂

Green = sure fire

Yellow = cutting it close

Red = no chance

01 | Flynnonda • Borderline • When It's Raining

02 | Greenfroze • Ken Hirai • 1995

03 | Bronzil • Fazerdaze • Motorway

04 | Macromia • Marika Hackman • Drown

05 | Jupiterdonia • RØRY • WOLVES

06 | Cheiron • Daisy Grenade • Don't Sweat It

07 | Kathaldazia • MERCY • POSSESSION

08 | Scotland 2 • Dijon • Yamaha

09 | POPHub • Magdalene • Lucky Girl

10 | Dobago • NXCRE & The Villains • USURPER

11 | A-Konohagakure • Phuture Noize • Hyperspace

12 | Sandénia • LØLØ • omg

13 | Skall • Bubble Love • Double Caper

14 | Land of DW • Lord Of The Lost & Within Temptation • Light Can Only Shine In The Darkness

15 | Terra Avium • Future Utopia & Lava La Rue • The Pleasure Trap

16 | Thelonia • Your Mate's Ex • Disco Shift

17 | Taahino • Ashnikko • Trinkets

18 | Hendinia • Frost Children • WHAT IS FOREVER FOR

19 | Jadakissnia • S1RENA • DNA 1NTERLUDE / DNA

20 | Séyetana • Ecca Vandal • CRUISING TO SELF SOOTHE

21 | Cor Lupus • Tsatsamis • Sweet Praise

22 | Why So Sirius • Yu • Geld

23 | Elëdan • Nicolás Jaar • Aquí (it’ll be a yellow if Pav doesn’t vote but I’m pretty sure he did)

24 | Lookylion • Goddess • Sexual

25 | Kluminican Republic • Swank Mami • Baddiez

26 | Aesthetica • Jae Stephens • Afterbody

the Daisy Grenade song reminded me of 1 2 Many by Swimming Girls so I’m kinda manifesting it to go top 10 on that comparison alone

I do hope the abundance of rock entries in semi 1 doesn't just end up in the vote being too split and a load of them DNQing as I definitely feel most of them are strong enough entries that they should be making it through.

Only the one prediction so far for semi 2 and it has me DNQing bratcheeseblock (the reaction I got from SyncTube didn't feel like it boded too well for this to have been a worthwhile risk of an entry so fair enough but we'll see x)

I think Trinkets is a very safe qualifier.

My only “hot take”, which isn’t even much of a hot take because a few have predicted it to qualify now, is that if any A-Konohagakure is gonna cut through more than usual, I think it’d be this one.

DanBet SF2

01 | Persephonia • Maustetytöt • Tee Se Itse

02 | Ajanaeda • Nuovo Testamento • Dream On

03 | Bøtanikkä • Tanzer • Maximum Glamour

04 | Herbilore • Julia Fox • Down The Drain

05 | New Lexico • Yorke • airplane mode

06 | Danæviia • Levi.Sct • Technotude

07 | Zanmatony • Dan Deacon • Feel The Lightning

08 | Aelandor • PRXZM • Where We Started

09 | Pestolia • ivri • tower of memories

10 | Summericia • Avery Cochrane • Shapeshifting On A Saturday Night

11 | Utopia • Water From Your Eyes • Playing Classics

12 | Aeroche • sim0ne • space cadet

13 | Mothertopia • Samia • Lizard

14 | Baleghde • OCT • Half Horse Half Man

15 | Yehesi • BRUSES • ANTES de MORIRME X.x (feat. Amandititita)

16 | République d'Áskorza • Astrid S • First To Go

17 | Altyr Muunilinst • Krewella • Crying On The Dancefloor

18 | East Rukahavian • coastal club • conversation

19 | FARC • Sycco • Dribble

20 | Cumulonimbia • Deki Alem • House Fire

21 | Trifoski • acloudyskye • Shoots

22 | Hushkanukia • Kirsty Grant • Outerbody

23 | Neliönoir • Night Tapes • storm

24 | Suedeonia • Ducks Ltd. • Train Full Of Gasoline

25 | Lotunia • Luca Vasta • Santa Maria

26 | FSR Rontvia • ARGO • Korku

here for East Rukahavian to do a 🇵🇹 NAPA and qualify, and then go viral on TikTok some months after magic

  • Author

I genuinely thought both semis were pretty strong when I was voting - but yet they somehow also felt very different from each other despite the random.org approach. I’m really intrigued to see what ends up winning in the final

Two predictions either way plus a "cutting it close" from Cody means the prospect of a first Bronzil DNQ streak looms larger than ever. I thought it would have a few fans in this semi, but if they're more like 6s and 7s than higher scores then hmm... then again, after several months of nothing but Q predictions even for two actual DNQs, a 19th & a 20th place finisher in the semi, maybe it's a good omen?

  • Author

A hopefully usefully formatted list for odds in the final...

image.png

01 | POPHub • Magdalene • Lucky Girl

02 | Danæviia • Levi.Sct • Technotude

03 | République d'Áskorza • Astrid S • First To Go

04 | Jadakissnia • S1RENA • DNA 1NTERLUDE / DNA

05 | Elëdan • Nicolás Jaar • Aquí

06 | Cheiron • Daisy Grenade • Don't Sweat It

07 | Aeroche • sim0ne • space cadet

08 | New Lexico • Yorke • airplane mode

09 | Taahino • Ashnikko • Trinkets

10 | Cor Lupus • Tsatsamis • Sweet Praise

11 | Ajanaeda • Nuovo Testamento • Dream On

12 | Altyr Muunilinst • Krewella • Crying On The Dancefloor

13 | Pestolia • ivri • tower of memories

14 | Fljótavík • Joon Gloom • Joker

15 | Skall • Bubble Love • Double Caper

16 | Land of DW • Lord Of The Lost & Within Temptation • Light Can Only Shine In The Darkness

17 | Mothertopia • Samia • Lizard

18 | Trifoski • acloudyskye • Shoots

19 | Sandénia • LØLØ • omg

20 | Greenfroze • Ken Hirai • 1995

21 | Aesthetica • Jae Stephens • Afterbody

22 | FARC • Sycco • Dribble

23 | Lotunia • Luca Vasta • Santa Maria

24 | Why So Sirius • Yu • Geld

25 | Summericia • Avery Cochrane • Shapeshifting On A Saturday Night

26 | A-Konohagakure • Phuture Noize • Hyperspace

27 | FSR Rontvia • ARGO • Korku

28 | Hendinia • Frost Children • WHAT IS FOREVER FOR

29 | Aelandor • PRXZM • Where We Started

30 | Zanmatony • Dan Deacon • Feel The Lightning

31 | Neliönoir • Night Tapes • storm

32 | Terra Avium • Future Utopia & Lava La Rue • The Pleasure Trap

33 | Kathaldazia • MERCY • POSSESSION

34 | Kluminican Republic • Swank Mami • Baddiez

35 | Herbilore • Julia Fox • Down The Drain

36 | Bronzil • Fazerdaze • Motorway

37 | Cumulonimbia • Deki Alem • House Fire

38 | Thelonia • Your Mate's Ex • Disco Shift

39 | Flynnonda • Borderline • When It's Raining

40 | Suedeonia • Ducks Ltd. • Train Full Of Gasoline

41 | Utopia • Water From Your Eyes • Playing Classics

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