I didn’t want to be too optimistic, I’d love a 50k plus but realistically it’ll be around the 40k mark which would be still very impressive

I’m expecting about 38K. I don’t think it will draw casual fans back in, sadly.

On 29/06/2026 at 08:49, Spiceboy said:

I think 8k is ambitious too, I'd be happy with 5-6k in streams, don't think she is really more popular than Kylie here anymore, (I dare so it's the other way round perhaps).

Kylies definitely racked the number one albums up here in the 2020s decade! I think Kylies perhaps more endearing and people have more goodwill towards her but I think Madonna still has a solid hardcore fan base and when she gets it right she truly gets it right.

Madonna’s definitely bigger though although that’s more overall. I think this Madonna album is about as hyped as what Kylies DISCO era was possibly?

I conservatively opted for 30-39k but with all the formats and sequel hype it’s feasible this album could sell much more week one.

I'm asking the experts here, what are her chances against Sienna Spiro next week? Many say Sienna has the edge due to her massive streaming power.

Is this Sienna’s debut album?

24 minutes ago, Benson Boone said:

Is this Sienna’s debut album?

i believe so. Her debut album.

3 hours ago, smirnoff_ice said:

I'm asking the experts here, what are her chances against Sienna Spiro next week? Many say Sienna has the edge due to her massive streaming power.

I’ve tried not to be too confident regarding Madonna’s chances here!

I’ve not got much idea about Siennas paid for sales but I think Madonna has a lot more variations of her album which will definitely help and because she’s more established she has the multi buy effect too (like I have two copies and I’m downloading the album too so that’ll be 3!)!

Maybe a separate thread for Madonna vs Sienna could be an idea as I’m actually intrigued as to what people think on this one. I’d say Myles Smiths album might be a rough idea on how Sienna could do perhaps?

Honestly I think Madge is gonna be clear of Sienna by about 20k, there's nothing to worry about.

I would say that it's going between 28k and 35k for me, so I'm opting with the 30k-39k option. If I have to say an exact number, it would say 32k.

If Confessions II surprasses Rebel Heart's first week sales, it would definitely be a win. However, I'm not that confident this will happen though. I expect physical sales to be around 25k to 30k, while the streaming sales to be, at least, 3k. A figure higher than that will be fascinating to be honest.

Personally, I think that there are more expectations about the chart sales in the US than the UK in my opinion, so let's see how it goes there as well.

I’m feeling cautiously optimistic for Madonna, there seems to be a good amount of hype and the promo has been spot on.

ONE HOUR TO GO!!

On 01/07/2026 at 14:00, Jessie Where said:

Honestly I think Madge is gonna be clear of Sienna by about 20k, there's nothing to worry about.

Ya i dont see Sienna as a threat at all.

I think we could be pleasantly surprised at the streams for this my entire male follow list on socials seem to be playing or discussing the album?! I’m definitely seeing a lot of traction for this on socials (I mean it is accounts I follow) but I don’t think I’ve seen posts like this for an artist as far into their career as what Madonna is for some time?! I truly feel like the hype is genuinely here this time around outside the core Stan base.

Edited Friday at 07:582 days by Jordanlee1402

I have gone for 30k - 39k. Anything around there will be a huge success for her at this stage in her career I think.

The ICON edition is cheaper on iTunes for anyone who wanting a digital copy (and has an extra song too and better artwork)!

And that’s my push for extra sales!

Also going for 30k-39k. I think it could break 40k with the amount of variants but anything that is an increase on Madame X will be a huge success.

I'm locking in 55-60k

I think it’s going to have really good week 1 figures - isn’t there 21 formats? And a lot of them have been priced decently (vinyl £19.99 etc.,).

More interested to see how it holds up after week 1.

The album as a whole is a great listen, much better than the pre release singles indicated (apart from IFSF which is the perfect confessions link) so fingers crossed for a high number of sales.