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Sausage Rolls 92 members have voted

  1. 1. Will LadBaby get the Christmas #1 single for the third year running?

    • Yes
      58
    • No
      26

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He's like a recurring annual septic infection.

That's kinda harsh, considering septic infections don't raise a load of money for charity!

I've not been keeping up to date with the charts much over the past few months but from the way things are at the moment what could possibly challenge Ladbaby for Christmas #1? Could one of the songs doing very well currently last all the way until Christmas for example?
I've not been keeping up to date with the charts much over the past few months but from the way things are at the moment what could possibly challenge Ladbaby for Christmas #1? Could one of the songs doing very well currently last all the way until Christmas for example?

 

Nah.. there's a distinct lack of genuine monster crossover hits around at the moment. Feels to me like a lot of the stuff making top 5 is getting there by default. Bad times.

it's not like that

any week, to predict how a song is gonna do on Thu

they use the data for that song during that week

plus the data of how all songs have performed every week in the history of Spotify

 

so first the model learns how songs perform on Thu based on the all-time data

and then predicts what they'll do on Thu based on the Fri-Wed data but based on what the model has learnt from the all-time data

 

same for Xmas... it's not based only on what you've done during that week...it's called machine-learning

So how do you explain Thriller missing the Top 100 after Halloween was on a Thursday last year, when it made the Top 100 every previous year since 2006 and the Top 75 every year since 2012? Even in 2018, it was on permanent ACR but still made #63.

If there has to be a campaign to stop Ladbaby this time then the song should be another current big record ie. the likely Christmas number 2.

Yeah ppl always miss a huge open goal with those^

 

Makes sense for a campaign to target a song naturally doing well anyway rather than something completely new which has to take off from ground zero. If there was a big public campaign last year to support Own It it would have easily stopped LadBaby from going to #1.

 

I'm not endorsing it myself personally but it's a huge oversight!

Edited by Dobbo

it's not like that

any week, to predict how a song is gonna do on Thu

they use the data for that song during that week

plus the data of how all songs have performed every week in the history of Spotify

 

so first the model learns how songs perform on Thu based on the all-time data

and then predicts what they'll do on Thu based on the Fri-Wed data but based on what the model has learnt from the all-time data

 

same for Xmas... it's not based only on what you've done during that week...it's called machine-learning

 

The data from 2015 would suggest otherwise, the model that the OCC used underestimated the Christmas Eve SES by some considerable margin. It may have been improved since then I guess..

 

Here's what you said about Mariah Carey's estimated sale in 2018:

 

booooo Mariah's label should sue the occ and ask for a re-count

 

in cases when it's so close, 100 copies, we want real data not an estimate

I'd quite like to see Ladbaby do the Xmas #1 hat trick.

 

Didn't ABBA record a couple of new songs a while back?

Imagine if they released a new song in December, would it roar to number one?

I'd quite like to see Ladbaby do the Xmas #1 hat trick.

 

Didn't ABBA record a couple of new songs a while back?

Imagine if they released a new song in December, would it roar to number one?

I'm not sure the ABBA comeback would go to number one, on sales it might but streaming will be a massive hindrance to a band like ABBA.

 

Has anyone managed to get hold of any of the sausage roll flavoured crisps yet?

I know a lot on here despise Ladbaby getting no.1s but I find it pretty bad taste that people would campaign to stop a charity song from going to no.1. I’m all for competition but people campaigning to get something equally awful yet current to no.1 seems like people are taking it too seriously.
The data from 2015 would suggest otherwise, the model that the OCC used underestimated the Christmas Eve SES by some considerable margin. It may have been improved since then I guess..

 

Here's what you said about Mariah Carey's estimated sale in 2018:

 

 

Did Mariah continue to fall the following week in 2015 with the Xmas day sales? Seems to be quite the hinderance indeed.

 

Can anyone remember the two no1 sales for Ladbaby over the past two years to see the sales trend?

 

Sorry but Ladbabys wife cracks me up every time I watch a video of them :lol: :lol:

I know a lot on here despise Ladbaby getting no.1s but I find it pretty bad taste that people would campaign to stop a charity song from going to no.1. I’m all for competition but people campaigning to get something equally awful yet current to no.1 seems like people are taking it too seriously.

 

I think Ladbaby symbolises everything BJ hates even the name lol

Can anyone remember the two no1 sales for Ladbaby over the past two years to see the sales trend?

2018 - LadBaby - 75,442 (70,378 sales + 5,064 streams)

2019 - LadBaby - 92,896 (85,077 sales + 7,819 streams)

Edited by Last Dreamer

Ah thanks so sales were more last year! I do remember he was pushing it more though due to the stormzy threat!
They really should do "All I want for Christmas is Sausage Rolls" and then at least Mariah get's a Christmas #1 in some way :lol: They are totally matching The Beatles and Spice Girls record, they could even break it next year omg :huh:

I definutely would not rule out ladbaby doing it again

 

Edited by Mark.

On the pack of walkers crisps it says "The Power of Sausage rolls"

Do you think that maybe a hint to the song choice for this year? Maybe the power of love or something like that.

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