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Slipped disc: The decline of CD sales and the Christmas No.1 album

 

by Andre Paine

 

Taylor Swift’s Midnights is this year’s Christmas No.1 album, following a chart contest with Cliff Richard and Michael Buble. 

 

At one point, it looked as if Midnights’ streaming total in the past week might be higher than its physical performance, something that has never happened for a Christmas No.1 album. In the event, physical made up 53.9% of Midnight’s weekly total, which is still by far the lowest ever share for a Christmas No.1.

 

Wth CD sales diving in 2022, based on Music Week research, the longstanding tradition of physical music in the festive period is now looking uncertain.

 

The Christmas No.1 single is still a mainstream media story even with the dominance of LadBaby in recent years. But the chart-topping album has become less of an event in the streaming era.

 

In years gone by, securing the top spot in the albums chart with big numbers in the week of Christmas was a sign of a surefire hit, either from a chart mainstay of that year or a strategic Q4 release in the run-up to Christmas. 

 

Last year, despite becoming her first LP available on DSPs from release, Adele’s 30 still registered 62,083 physical sales in chart week 51 (out of a total of 70,813 - Official Charts Company) to retain the No.1 position for Christmas. During the final week of 2021’s gifting season, its physical sales increased from the prior week.

 

The final weeks of Q4 have traditionally been a time when physical music could make its mark on the albums chart, even amid the ongoing switch to DSP consumption. But 2022 shows signs of being the year that streaming - already dominant in terms of consumption throughout the year - finally ends that end-of-year boost for physical.

 

With no album managing to top 20,000 chart sales in the past week, Taylor Swift was able to cruise back to the summit for a third non-consecutive week at No.1 with Midnights. The album became this year’s Christmas chart-topper by registering a further 17,109 sales, including 9,216 physical copies, 7,690 from streams and 203 downloads. Its total stands at 404,600 after just two months.

 

While that caps off a triumphant year for Taylor Swift, it does raise questions about the physical music market at Christmas and the long-term future of CD amid an accelerating decline for the format. Only one album (Cliff Richard’s Christmas With Cliff at No.2 - 15,837 sales) sold in excess of 10,000 physical copies in the past week.

 

According to Official Charts Company data for the year up to week 50 (ending December 15), CD sales were down 18.9% year-on-year. That compares to a year-on-year decline of 10.5% (to 14 million) for the format during the whole of 2021.

 

Physical represented 29% of the albums market in the past week compared to 28.2% in the prior week. A year ago, physical was at 37.2% of the albums market in the week leading up to Christmas.

 

Back in 2016, almost 50 million CDs were sold, and Christmas was the period when sales peaked. Michael Buble’s Christmas reached No.1 with 317,114 copies sold in seven days in the run-up to December 25 in 2011. In 2015, Adele’s 25 (then not available to stream) sold a staggering 449,970 copies in a week.

 

Of course, the market has since shifted to a consumption model, but weekly sales in the run-up to Christmas were still topping 100,000 as recently as 2017 (Eminem’s Revival at No.1 and Ed Sheeran’s Divide at No.2 both made six figures). In the last five years, physical has been on the wane but the Christmas No.1 album was still above 50,000 physical copies for that key week in 2018 (The Greatest Showman), 2019 (Rod Stewart’s You’re In My Heart) and 2021 (Adele).

 

There was a credible challenge this year from three festive releases, new and old, by Cliff Richard, Michael Buble and Andrea, Matteo & Virginia Bocelli. But without the usual retail boost, the two 2022 releases - Christmas With Cliff and the Bocellis’ A Family Christmas - were unable to make up the ground. 

 

As the week progressed, Swift’s main threat appeared to be from Buble’s 11-year-old Christmas album, which was powered by streams (84.3%) and ultimately made No.3. SZA’s SOS, which finished at No.4, does not even have a physical edition. 

 

While fewer big albums dropping late in the year could explain the slower market performance in the past week, the difference was not just at the top of the chart. In Christmas week 2021 and 2020, four of the Top 5 albums topped 10,000 physical sales, while in 2019 each of the Top 5 albums surpassed 20,000 weekly physical sales.

 

It’s also notable that big festive releases of recent years, such as LPs from Robbie Williams and Gary Barlow, have not returned to the chart in 2022. The chart-topping Together At Christmas from 2020 by Michael Ball & Alfie Boe did manage to stage a revival this year, but only as high as No.51. The duo are in the Christmas week Top 20 with new release Together In Vegas.

 

Part of the problem is the lack of availability of CD, a remarkably good value gifting option at this time of year. But record stores now give over much more floor space to vinyl, while many supermarkets have stopped selling music completely or limited it to select titles.

 

Warner Music ingeniously got around this problem by packaging Cliff Richard’s Christmas With Cliff in a magazine format that could be stocked in supermarkets.

 

Vinyl has made a big impact in Q4 with key releases from Taylor Swift, Harry Styles and Arctic Monkeys. But with prices increasing - £30 is common for an LP - the format is not likely to be an impulse buy for the Christmas shopper looking for the right gift.

 

In the latest issue of Music Week, ERA’s Kim Bayley noted the rise in prices for vinyl.

 

“Great products which deliver high perceived value will always sell,” she said. “During the Christmas gifting season, we can expect more demand. But value and price need to be aligned.

 

“We recognise that costs are rising for all parts of the industry, but there is a risk that if vinyl costs rise too much it may inevitably affect demand, in particular from younger, less affluent audiences.”

 

In the latest issue, we crunch the Q4 numbers for the first eight weeks of the quarter that shows vinyl unit sales up by 7.4% year-on-year. But, as this Christmas week has shown, it’s been a bumpy quarter and vinyl is not set to grow at the same rate as last year, when sales soared by 10.6% for the 12 months. 

 

In terms of value, however, there has been a significant increase, which is good news for retailers and labels. According to Official Charts Company data up to week 50 in 2022, vinyl retail value is up 10.5% year-on-year.

 

As well as consumers’ ability to absorb rising prices, there have been concerns about production capacity and supply issues. But if that has held back growth of vinyl at retail, there are hopes the situation could be improving.

 

“The production of vinyl remains an issue, but there has been a massive improvement on the situation in the last 12 months,” HMV and Fopp MD Phil Halliday told Music Week. “There’s certainly an opportunity for growth in 2023, most notably on catalogue, where some segments have been significantly impacted over the last 18 months.” 

 

Subscribers can read the full story on vinyl and Q4 here.

 

Christmas No.1 album weekly sales

 

 

2022

 

Taylor Swift - Midnights (17,109 - 9,216 physical copies)

 

2021

 

Adele - 30 (70,813 - 62,083 physical copies)

 

 

2020

 

Paul McCartney - McCartney III (33,079 - 30,557 physical copies)

 

2019

 

Rod Stewart - You’re In My Heart (71,330 - 68,015 physical copies)

 

 

2018

 

The Greatest showman (68,606 - 55,025 physical copies)

 

from musicweek.com

Edited by Robbie

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The Christmas No.1 single is still a mainstream media story even with the dominance of LadBaby in recent years. But the chart-topping album has become less of an event in the streaming era.

 

Was it ever really considered an 'event' in the first place though? Ofc the article is relevant to the general decrease in Q4 sales but I don't recall the Christmas #1 album ever being a thing that anyone really cared about even when it was a time of sky high sales. Maybe it was more of a thing back in the day idk.

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Was it ever really considered an 'event' in the first place though? Ofc the article is relevant to the general decrease in Q4 sales but I don't recall the Christmas #1 album ever being a thing that anyone really cared about even when it was a time of sky high sales. Maybe it was more of a thing back in the day idk.
It wasn't in the same way that the singles number 1 was but it was something much bigger than it has been in recent years. For one thing, sales used to be massive. Plus people used to talk about how many albums had sold over over 100,000 copies in Christmas week. It used to be close to 20 albums.

 

yes, no one cared who was #1 in album

only interesting thing was how big sales were

the #1 album was mostly something released in late November or early Dec that continued at #1

Not sure what you mean, until a few years ago, sales were huge in Xmas, not an exception, that was the rule
But they have been in decline for over a decade so it's hardly surprising. The sales are still higher than usual and artists like Bruce Springsteen, George Ezra and Taylor Swift are good physical sellers.
But they have been in decline for over a decade so it's hardly surprising. The sales are still higher than usual and artists like Bruce Springsteen, George Ezra and Taylor Swift are good physical sellers.

But you didn't write that, yo usaid they had only been high for a short period, which is not true

of course the decline happened with the collapse of CD sales

compiled from Gezza's thread on the Sales Vault, album sales during Dec/Xmas since 90

the early 90s were not the highest but from '95 on sales really pick up well up til 2012

with the big drop from 2016 on

 

1990

15-Dec The Immaculate Collection Madonna 183,000

22-Dec The Immaculate Collection Madonna 233,000

29-Dec The Immaculate Collection Madonna 340,000

05-Jan The Immaculate Collection Madonna 198,000

 

1991

30-Nov Dangerous Michael Jackson 201,000

07-Dec Greatest Hits II Queen 146,000

14-Dec Greatest Hits II Queen 202,000

21-Dec Greatest Hits II Queen 184,000

28-Dec Greatest Hits II Queen 179,000

 

1992

26-Dec Cher's Greatest Hits 1965-1992 Cher 193,000

02-Jan Cher's Greatest Hits 1965- 1992 Cher 143,000

 

1993

18-Dec Bat Out Of Hell II- Back Into Hell Meat Loaf 164,000

25-Dec Bat Out Of Hell II- Back Into Hell Meat Loaf 189,000

01-Jan One Woman- Ultimate Collection Diana Ross 241,000

 

1994

24-Dec Carry On Up The Charts- The Best Of The Beautiful South 193,000

31-Dec Carry On Up The Charts- The Best Of The Beautiful South 176,914

 

1995

25-Nov Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 270,000

02-Dec Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 213,000

09-Dec Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 273,000

16-Dec Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 279,000

23-Dec Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 316,000

30-Dec Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 378,897

06-Jan Robson & Jerome Robson & Jerome 216,000

 

1996

07-Dec Spice The Spice Girls 170,000

14-Dec Spice The Spice Girls 217,000

21-Dec Spice The Spice Girls 271,000

28-Dec Spice The Spice Girls 364,676

04-Jan Spice The Spice Girls 375,000

 

1997

20-Dec Let's Talk About Love Celine Dion 142,000

27-Dec Let's Talk About Love Celine Dion 219,918

03-Jan Urban Hymns The Verve 230,000

 

1998

19-Dec Ladies & Gentlemen- The Best of... George Michael 239,000

26-Dec Ladies & Gentlemen- The Best of... George Michael 308,714

02-Jan Ladies & Gentlemen- The Best Of... George Michael 350,000

 

1999

25-Dec Come On Over Shania Twain 239,559

01-Jan Come On Over Shania Twain 277,984

 

2000

25-Nov 1 The Beatles 319,126

02-Dec 1 The Beatles 253,552

09-Dec 1 The Beatles 232,051

16-Dec 1 The Beatles 251,289

23-Dec 1 The Beatles 283,302

30-Dec 1 The Beatles 422,042

 

2001

01-Dec Swing When You're Winning Robbie Williams 295,024

08-Dec Swing When You're Winning Robbie Williams 194,254

15-Dec Swing When You're Winning Robbie Williams 212,386

22-Dec Swing When You're Winning Robbie Williams 245,255

29-Dec Swing When You're Winning Robbie Williams 365,208

05-Jan Swing When You're Winning Robbie Williams 179,625

 

2002

30-Nov Escapology Robbie Williams 264,104

07-Dec Escapology Robbie Williams 186,768

14-Dec Escapology Robbie Williams 195,297

21-Dec Escapology Robbie Williams 229,126

28-Dec Escapology Robbie Williams 310,237

04-Jan Escapology Robbie Williams 225,399

 

2003

13-Dec Friday's Child Will Young 201,900

20-Dec Life For Rent Dido 216,900

27-Dec Life For Rent Dido 270,652

03-Jan Life For Rent Dido 233,629

 

2004

04-Dec How To Dismantle An Atomic Bomb U2 200,863

11-Dec How To Dismantle An Atomic Bomb U2 127,982

18-Dec How To Dismantle An Atomic Bomb U2 178,539

25-Dec Greatest Hits Robbie Williams 183,871

01-Jan Greatest Hits Robbie Williams 183,706

 

2005

10-Dec Curtain Call- The Hits Eminem 112,915

17-Dec Curtain Call- The Hits Eminem 241,382

24-Dec Curtain Call- The Hits Eminem 198,793

31-Dec Curtain Call- The Hits Eminem 314,553

 

2006

02-Dec The Love Album Westlife 219,662

09-Dec Beautiful World Take That 168,954

16-Dec Beautiful World Take That 199,185

23-Dec Beautiful World Take That 229,001

30-Dec Beautiful World Take That 443,070

 

2007

24-Nov Spirit Leona Lewis 375,872

01-Dec Spirit Leona Lewis 196,997

08-Dec Spirit Leona Lewis 164,433

15-Dec Spirit Leona Lewis 180,944

22-Dec Spirit Leona Lewis 228,504

29-Dec Spirit Leona Lewis 286,437

 

2008

06-Dec Day & Age The Killers 200,299

13-Dec The Circus Take That 432,490

20-Dec The Circus Take That 319,265

27-Dec The Circus Take That 381,650

03-Jan The Circus Take That 312,709

 

2009

05-Dec I Dreamed A Dream Susan Boyle 411,820

12-Dec I Dreamed A Dream Susan Boyle 303,708

19-Dec I Dreamed A Dream Susan Boyle 274,148

26-Dec I Dreamed A Dream Susan Boyle 352,612

02-Jan Crazy Love Michael Buble 243,226

 

2010

27-Nov Progress Take That 518,601

04-Dec Progress Take That 208,219

11-Dec Progress Take That 176,881

18-Dec Progress Take That 203,210

25-Dec Progress Take That 330,251

01-Jan Progress Take That 350,328

 

2011

17-Dec Lioness: Hidden Treasures Amy Winehouse 194,966

24-Dec Christmas Michael Buble 269,655

31-Dec Christmas Michael Buble 317,114

 

2012

22-Dec Unorthodox Jukebox Bruno Mars 136,391

29-Dec Our Version Of Events Emeli Sande 177,696 

 

2013

07-Dec Midnight Memories One Direction 237,388

14-Dec Midnight Memories One Direction 124,535

21-Dec Swings Both Ways Robbie Williams 126,168

28-Dec Swings Both Ways Robbie Williams 126,330

 

2014

13-Dec III Take That 144,538

20-Dec X Ed Sheeran 152,262

27-Dec X Ed Sheeran 214,451

03-Jan X Ed Sheeran 211,168

 

2015

03-Dec - 800,307 - 25: Adele

10-Dec - 439,337 - 25: Adele

17-Dec - 353,765 - 25: Adele

24-Dec - 376,716 - 25: Adele

31-Dec - 449,870 - 25: Adele

 

2016

22-Dec - 96,529 Michael Ball & Alfie Boe: Together

29-Dec - 109,594Michael Ball & Alfie Boe: Together

 

2017

28-Dec Revival Eminem 131,622

 

2018

20-Dec The Greatest Showman Motion Picture Cast Recording 56,694

27-Dec The Greatest Showman Motion Picture Cast Recording 68,606

03-Jan The Greatest Showman Motion Picture Cast Recording 61,328

 

2019

26-Dec You're In My Heart Rod Stewart 71,330

 

2020

31-Dec III Paul McCartney 33,079

 

2021

02-Dec 30 Adele 261,856

09-Dec 30 Adele 102,261

16-Dec 30 Adele 73,212

23-Dec 30 Adele 68,139

30-Dec 30 Adele 70,813

 

2022

Taylor Swift - Midnights 17,109

Edited by Bjork

Thank you for the roundup. Seems like a world away compared to todays climate.
Albums used to sell more in a week than they do in a year nowadays.
Some of the old sales figures like Robson and Jerome and Robbie's are just phenomenal. Not one week but several high weeks.

Edited by creepy chris

I miss them big days when albums could go double platinum in a month, I remember take that's beautiful world and circus had multiple weeks of high sales.

These are the totals during the Xmas period (from late Nov til end Dec)

and some figures are crazy, Adele did almost 2.5 million in 5 weeks

and many albums have done well over 1 million and some even close to 2 million:

 

Adele-30: 2,417,000

Robson & Jerome: 1,945,000

Take That-Progress: 1,785,000

Beatles-1: 1,760,000

Robbie Williams-Swing when: 1,490,000

Take That-The Circus: 1,444,000

Robbie Williams-Escapology: 1,439,000

Leona-Spirit: 1,429,000

Spice Girls-Spice: 1,397,000

Subo: 1,340,000

Take That-Beautiful World: 1,039,000

 

 

I miss album sales being that healthy :( I was always interested to see which albums were doing well at Christmas time.

 

Here's some retro Top 20s from 2009 and 2010, randomly!

 

20th December 2009

01 352,612 I DREAMED A DREAM SUSAN BOYLE

02 251,842 CRAZY LOVE MICHAEL BUBLE

03 143,804 THE END BLACK EYED PEAS

04 136,480 THE FAME LADY GAGA

05 131,161 JLS JLS

06 111,599 REALITY KILLED THE VIDEO STAR ROBBIE WILLIAMS

07 109,730 UP TO NOW SNOW PATROL

08 102,750 WHERE WE ARE WESTLIFE

09 100,994 ECHO LEONA LEWIS

10 100,355 THE GREATEST DAY - THE CIRCUS LIVE TAKE THAT

11 97,177 THE HITS WILL YOUNG

12 92,114 ABSOLUTE GREATEST QUEEN

13 85,938 SOULBOOK ROD STEWART

14 85,059 3 WORDS CHERYL COLE

15 74,450 SUNNY SIDE UP PAOLO NUTINI

16 74,009 THIS IS IT MICHAEL JACKSON

17 69,076 THE ELEMENT OF FREEDOM ALICIA KEYS

18 63,492 COMING HOME SOLDIERS

19 49,896 OVERCOME ALEXANDRA BURKE

20 47,660 RATED R RIHANNA

 

27th December 2009

01 243,226 CRAZY LOVE MICHAEL BUBLE

02 234,651 I DREAMED A DREAM SUSAN BOYLE

03 148,676 THE END BLACK EYED PEAS

04 143,252 THE FAME LADY GAGA

05 108,999 JLS JLS

06 102,283 REALITY KILLED THE VIDEO STAR ROBBIE WILLIAMS

07 102,083 THE GREATEST DAY - THE CIRCUS LIVE TAKE THAT

08 93,946 UP TO NOW SNOW PATROL

09 84,831 THE HITS WILL YOUNG

10 84,754 3 WORDS CHERYL COLE

11 81,016 WHERE WE ARE WESTLIFE

12 76,724 ECHO LEONA LEWIS

13 75,988 SOULBOOK ROD STEWART

14 75,874 ABSOLUTE GREATEST QUEEN

15 72,047 SUNNY SIDE UP PAOLO NUTINI

16 56,858 THIS IS IT MICHAEL JACKSON

17 52,703 THE ELEMENT OF FREEDOM ALICIA KEYS

18 48,649 RATED R RIHANNA

19 47,292 AGAINST ALL ODDS N-DUBZ

20 46,709 COMING HOME SOLDIERS

 

----

 

19th December 2010

01 330,252 PROGRESS TAKE THAT

02 193,548 LOUD RIHANNA

03 138,912 CRAZY LOVE MICHAEL BUBLE

04 113,146 MICHAEL MICHAEL JACKSON

05 101,342 OLLY MURS OLLY MURS

06 88,539 THE GIFT SUSAN BOYLE

07 81,418 IN AND OUT OF CONSCIOUSNESS - GREATEST ROBBIE WILLIAMS

08 79,783 OUTTA THIS WORLD JLS

09 73,325 GREATEST HITS BON JOVI

10 68,529 THE BEGINNING BLACK EYED PEAS

11 68,067 COME AROUND SUNDOWN KINGS OF LEON

12 60,666 MOONLIGHT SERENADE ANDRE RIEU & JOHANN STRAUSS OR

13 60,042 GREATEST HITS - SO FAR PINK

14 58,798 TEENAGE DREAM KATY PERRY

15 58,266 GRAVITY WESTLIFE

16 48,264 SCIENCE & FAITH SCRIPT

17 46,950 MESSY LITTLE RAINDROPS CHERYL COLE

18 44,970 A CHRISTMAS CORNUCOPIA ANNIE LENNOX

19 42,334 SEASONS OF MY SOUL RUMER

20 40,448 LOVE LIVE LIFE N-DUBZ

 

26th December 2010

01 350,328 PROGRESS TAKE THAT

02 248,934 LOUD RIHANNA

03 165,031 CRAZY LOVE MICHAEL BUBLE

04 105,496 OLLY MURS OLLY MURS

05 84,200 MICHAEL MICHAEL JACKSON

06 83,661 OUTTA THIS WORLD JLS

07 81,269 THE GIFT SUSAN BOYLE

08 77,096 THE BEGINNING BLACK EYED PEAS

09 77,036 GREATEST HITS BON JOVI

10 72,394 COME AROUND SUNDOWN KINGS OF LEON

11 68,367 IN AND OUT OF CONSCIOUSNESS - GREATEST ROBBIE WILLIAMS

12 61,091 GREATEST HITS - SO FAR PINK

13 58,231 GRAVITY WESTLIFE

14 57,837 SCIENCE & FAITH SCRIPT

15 57,144 TEENAGE DREAM KATY PERRY

16 56,776 A CHRISTMAS CORNUCOPIA ANNIE LENNOX

17 53,170 LOVE LIVE LIFE N-DUBZ

18 48,019 MOONLIGHT SERENADE ANDRE RIEU & JOHANN STRAUSS OR

19 47,830 MESSY LITTLE RAINDROPS CHERYL COLE

20 37,925 SEASONS OF MY SOUL RUMER

Such a sad thing, I used to love seeing high Christmas sales. It felt like albums were so special back then. Streaming has changed consumption habits and albums are just not appreciated anymore. I know there are still big sales when Adele or Ed release but it’s such a shame that it isn’t the norm anymore.

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