Just had a look at previous exit polls and generally they underestimate Labour usually - although not by much.

 

In the case of this election there is more uncertainty/a bigger margin for error I assume with boundary changes and reform UK splitting the conservative vote.

It's no surprise that the Conservatives are forecast to do so badly in this election. The UK has really gone downhill over the last few years with them in charge, then there are all the scandals that they've been involved with and they way they handled Covid and cost of living.

They didn't even hide their nastiness over the last few years. It's almost as though they wanted to be voted out.

They didn't even hide their nastiness over the last few years. It's almost as though they wanted to be voted out.

 

Well yeah, there was a distinct sense of them getting high on their own supply and seeming like they had an automatic right to power, turning any criticism of their actions into 'uh no everything's fine actually we're being hugely successful with our fantastic plans'. Which was really weird honestly. That'll be gone from public life, I hope.

The Tories had like 3 scandals during their shit election campaign alone. And they are still projected to have got 100+ seats?

Well yeah, there was a distinct sense of them getting high on their own supply and seeming like they had an automatic right to power, turning any criticism of their actions into 'uh no everything's fine actually we're being hugely successful with our fantastic plans'. Which was really weird honestly. That'll be gone from public life, I hope.

It seemed like Boris Johnson's antics, though they caught up with him in the end, were not taken seriously enough. He got away with so many things that other politicians just wouldn't.

The Tories had like 3 scandals during their shit election campaign alone. And they are still projected to have got 100+ seats?

They'll always have their supporters.

 

I think it's easy for us to focus on the Tory result over the significant Labour win but ultimately they're not in power anymore.

I think Tories just about hold the constituency I grew up in (Derbyshire Dales) and the one I voted in in Staffordshire as these are very much seats that are just outside the 100 safest Tory seats in Britain. The former is much less Reform-curious than the latter so we will see how exactly the vote is distributed.

How do they decide what constituencies get counted first, Blyth and Sunderland seem to be ahead?

Edited July 4, 2024Jul 4 by TheSnake

Thought the Greens would have 3 :unsure:

'Paint The Town Red' is playing at full blast from my speakers rn :lol: Rishi rich is gone :cheer: Welcome Keir x

 

Thank god that the Tories are gone, at least for a little while at least... The amount of seats that Reform has in the exit poll is worrying, is there a possibility they could merge with the Tories for both of them to regain traction (hopefully not :().

 

Surely the SNP will get more than 10 seats? Quite a shock tbh.

Seen that Sky News' website is showing the chances of parties winning in each seat from the exit poll - mine is marked as 'too close to call' but 72% chance of Tory hold, it's ovah

How do they decide what constituencies get counted first, Blyth and Sunderland seem to be ahead?

 

Just depends on the ground game, and the North East has made a competition of it.

 

St. Ives will be last because of votes needing to be airlifted over from the Isles of Scilly I imagine. Those tend to be the two constants.

 

East Grinstead & Uckfield looking like a Tory hold as expected, sad.

The exit poll could be very wrong for Scotland as there's much more margin for error. I won't be surprised if the SNP have a drastic fall from grace, but I also wouldn't be surprised if they have managed between 15-20 either.

When are the first declarations due, does anyone know? :dance:

When are the first declarations due, does anyone know? :dance:

Just heard Sunderland/Newcastle seem to be on course for around 23:30!

 

edit: Blyth supposedly could be in 10 mins

Just heard Sunderland/Newcastle seem to be on course for around 23:30!

 

Woohoo!

 

When are the first declarations due, does anyone know? :dance:

 

Should have first seat by 11:30pm, with seats trickling from then. I believe there are larger batches of seats coming in at 1am, 2am, 3am & 4am.

Jeremy Hunt 20% chance of keeping his seat :rofl:

George Osborne is insufferable

How do they decide what constituencies get counted first, Blyth and Sunderland seem to be ahead?

They are all counted overnight, but smaller constituencies have the advantage of getting the ballot boxes to the count a lot faster. It is up to local councils how many counters they employ.