Posted May 17May 17 The greatest show on earth is back again tonight, 20:00 BSTVote early, vote often and love love peace peace to all!
May 17May 17 Author My usual inaccurate AF afternoon of the show day prediction of the final result from 1st to 26th:01 Austria02 Sweden03 Albania04 Finland05 France06 Netherlands07 Estonia08 Israel09 Greece10 Ukraine11 Lithuania12 Poland13 Malta14 Italy15 Denmark16 Switzerland 17 Norway 18 Armenia19 Germany20 Latvia21 Luxembourg22 Iceland23 Spain24 Portugal25 United Kingdom26 San MarinoUltimately I think Austria will be all set to storm the jury vote and will do better than expected with the public giving them just enough to pip Sweden to the post.
May 17May 17 Agree with that top 5 prediction tbh. Interesting to see how well Israhell's far-right advertising translates into televotes this year. If they get loads of 12s and 10s, it will have big effect on the winner. Edited May 17May 17 by Sour Candy
May 17May 17 45 minutes ago, Last Dreamer said:Good luck for UK ladies.This! They’ve been excellent ambassadors so hoping for them not to be at the bottom!
May 17May 17 I can't call who will win which is very exciting. France, Finland, Sweden, Austria and Albania all seem like they could realistically walk away with the trophy tonight and I wouldn't be surprised. Very much hoping it's a televote winner though, the contest needs that.
May 17May 17 Mixture of obvious and curveballs here, gonna guess something like:01 France02 Sweden03 Finland04 Austria05 Switzerland06 Albania07 Israel08 Netherlands09 Estonia10 Luxembourg11 Malta12 Portugal13 Poland14 Lithuania15 Latvia16 Iceland17 Norway18 Greece19 Ukraine20 Italy21 Denmark22 Armenia23 Spain24 UK25 Germany26 San MarinoI just have a feeling France will storm the jury, I could see 1-4 in basically any order though!!
May 17May 17 I think San Marino is the dark horse. kant is the best sang, but ir is a VERY WEAK year. Kariija or Rin Tin Ding A Ling should have entered this year for an easy win. Top 5 will probably be a mix of Austria, San Marino, Switzerland, Sweden andddd Finland. Australia would have been top 10 if it got throuth. Kant will be in the top 16. Ukraine and Denmark should get top10.Spain, UK and Germany will fight it out for last place. Spain should have sent its flsmenfo option :(
May 17May 17 1 hour ago, Sour Candy said:Agree with that top 5 prediction tbh. Interesting to see how well Israhell's far-right advertising translates into televotes this year. If they get loads of 12s and 10s, it will have big effect on the winner.This AGAIN!!! God sake. They really impacted the winner lsst year and it meant Rin Tin Ding a Ling had no chance in the end.
May 17May 17 Agreed roughly with Liam's order, and that it looks like going one of four ways.Contenders:France - likely to storm the jury and I guess could get 200 televotes with where it is in the drawSweden - still quite likely to win the televote, is going to to need to keep up the pace with juries with 150 at the bare minimumFinland - has been the dark horse in the way of it looked like she was coming lower half of the top ten for ages but actually pulled a winner's performance vibe out of the bag. If the jury don't undermark her then she has an outside shotAustria - Maybe a bit too divisive to win and an early draw won't help but if it's 'the chosen one' for the jury and they give it 350 then it could still win, I suspect they might look to France more than thisOutsiders:Netherlands - could well come top five in both votes so could end up being a consensus winnerAlbania - likely to be the winner of Southern Europe and the Balkans who literally have nothing else local to vote for apart from Greece, would love to see this push for top five but not sure it's going to get loads of Western televote supportIsrael - Never count them and their supporters out, sadlySwitzerland - I expect Louane will take the French ballad televotes and this (imo better song) will find itself with about 40 televotes and a very high jury score. In the mix for top five due to juries, but not the win.Estonia - terrible draw could harm its public vote a bit and juries won't love it, but it could be top three in the televote Would be fairly surprised if any of these miss the top ten. The other top 10 spot could be any of about 5 or 6 countries honestly.
May 17May 17 I agree with you Gooddelta. It's been Sweden vs Austria so for long and who knows, may be they will storm to victory but it really wouldn't surprise me if France gets it. I keep thinking Austria is a bit close to last year's winner and pop opera doesn't always do amazing. I suspect we will get very different top 5's with the televote and jury and the scores could be more spread out than normal. It wouldn't surprise me if neither the winner of the televote or jury go over 300 points. The jury may be quite split with France and Austria. I am pretty certain the top 5 televote will be Sweden, Finland, Israel, Estonia and the fifth going to either Ukraine or something like France/Austria. I can see Israel's jury score being more than last year but the televote being less than last year too.
May 17May 17 My predictions:1. Austria2. Albania3. Sweden4. Switzerland5. Finland6. Malta7. Italy8. Ukraine9. Greece10. Israel11. France12. Netherlands13. Poland14. Lithuania15. Estonia16. Luxembourg17. Portugal18. Latvia19. Spain20. Armenia21. United Kingdom22. Denmark23. Germany24. Iceland25. Norway26. San MarinoI find France vastly overrated when there were better alternatives imo x it could well do a evidemment and come way lower than expected 🤔 i think people are underestimating albania here, with the country doing so well with the fan base this could surprise everyone! (it's also a really sophisticated song with many layers in the lyrics and music, so i think the juries will appreciate it more than we think too) unfortunately, i think the juries will rally behind austria and people will not be happy about it ☹️
May 17May 17 Exciting that it’s not the most clear cut year! I do really like most of the contenders but France’s entry isn’t doing anything for me, so would be underwhelmed if it does swing that way.I predict that Italy will come top 10 yet again Edit: wrote that before I saw uhsting’s post, so not alone with that opinion now - but yeah, had a good feeling about it during the semi finals
May 17May 17 Austria is all about modern Eurovision, so have huge chances to win. Finland will get a mix of 10s-12s and zeros.
May 17May 17 Author Also my traditional "speculating about next year's hosting" post is now here with the top 5 or so of the betting:If Austria win I'd imagine Vienna is the most likely host which in an amusing coincidence means they'll be hosts of both the 60th and 70th anniversary contests. Innsbruck and Graz were also shortlisted in 2015 if they want to stay on trend with the non-capital host cities/there's a desire to go outside of Vienna.Sweden I imagine would end up being a case of who doesn't want it the least rather than who wants it the most as Malmo definitely are not game for hosting after 2024. Realistically Stockholm is the only other realistic hosting option until Gothenburg build their new arena (Taylor Swift stay at home pls)France will probably have a very competitive bidding process that will more or less come down to Paris vs not-Paris. Expect to see bids from Lyon, Strasbourg and Grenoble and probably many moreFinland have got Helsinki as always but I could see them seriously considering Tampere or Turku if they want to go outside the box.Albania only realistically have Tirana as an option but their only remotely usable venue is the main football stadium that would need to have a roof built for it
May 17May 17 I literally have no idea how it will go but I hope the UK, Latvia and Armenia all do well.
May 17May 17 Albania take my energy and win me moneyI hope if we do go the way of jury bait French ballad winning that it'd be Switzerland again rather than France, 'Voyage' is miles better than 'Maman' for me. Would be happy with either Sweden or Austria winning though! (But yes, rooting for the small but not entirely nonexistent chance of an Albania win x)
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